1 TRADING ART HILL

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1/25 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - A Race to the 200-day

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/weekly-market-review--outlook---a-race-to-the-200-day.html

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1/23 What Makes this Wedge Break Significant?

I ignore bearish setups when the bigger trend is up. Conversely, I do not ignore bearish setups when the bigger trend is down. And I think the bigger trend is down for the S&P 500, S&P Mid-Cap 400 and S&P Small-Cap 600. The S&P 500 is below its 200-day SMA, the current advance did not break the early December high and the 50-day SMA is below the 200-day SMA. Despite the bullish breadth thrust in mid January, the other breadth indicators I follow are bearish. Short-term, the chart below shows CCI moving below 100 for the third time in three months.


https://d.stockcharts.com/img/articles/2019/01/154826493539991230711.png

I am getting short-term bearish signals and this argues for further weakness in stocks. As with any signal, I have no idea if it will work or how good it might work. These signals could just lead to choppy trading and volatility - welcome to bear market environments. All signals are equal in my book. They work until proven otherwise or a profit target is reached. At this point, a close above 2675 in $SPX would argue for a re-assessment.

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1/23 Reversal Signs Appearing in SPY and TLT - XLC is Leading Lower



https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/reversal-signs-appearing-in-spy-and-tlt---xlc-is-leading-lower.html

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1/22 To Chase or Not to Chase?


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/to-chase-or-not-to-chase-.html

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1/18 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - A One Legged Chair

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video---a-one-legged-chair.html

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1/17 30 MIN WEDGES


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/a-five-step-bearish-setup-for-abc.html

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1/16 Big Sectors Drive Short-term Breakout in SPY


http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/big-sectors-drive-short-term-breakout-in-spy-.html

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1/8/2019 Zweig breath thrust today

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*****1/5/2019 GOOD CHART OF SPX WITH ROC


https://d.stockcharts.com/img/articles/2019/01/1546688040779992184105.png

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1/5 Understanding and Adapting to the Broad Market Environment


https://www.stockcharts.com/articles/chartwatchers/2019/01/understanding-and-adapting-to-the-market-environment.html

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1/4 ON TREND FREE

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1/4 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with Video) - Until Proven Otherwise

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2019/01/weekly-market-review--outlook---until-proven-otherwise.html

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1/2 The Relationship between Trend Direction and Risk

https://www.stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2019/01/the-relationship-between-trend-direction-and-risk.html

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12/31 Sector SPDRs Firm with a Few Piercing Patterns


https://stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/12/sector-spdrs-firm-with-a-few-piercing-patterns.html

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12/26 A Long-term Breadth Signal Triggers

https://stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/12/a-long-term-breadth-signal-triggers.html

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12/24 A Rare Extreme for the Russell 2000

https://stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/12/a-rare-extreme-for-the-russell-2000.html

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12/21

 
 Symbol	%57DAYS	Name 
 $TSX	-12	TSX Composite Index 
 $INDU	-15	Dow Jones Industrial Average 
 $NYA	-15	NYSE Composite Index 
 $SPX	-16	S&P 500 Large Cap Index 
 VTI	-17	Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF 
 $MID	-19	S&P 400 Mid Cap Index 
  
 NDX	-20	Nasdaq 100 Index 
 $XVG	-20	Value Line Geometric Index (NBD) 
 $COMPQ	-20	Nasdaq Composite 
 IJR	-22	iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF 
 IWM	-22	iShares Russell 2000 ETF 
 $SML	-22	S&P 600 Small Cap Index 
 

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12/21 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Oversold is a Double-Edged Sword


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/12/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video---oversold-is-a-double-edged-sword.html

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12/19 A Monster Momentum Shift in the 30-yr Yield


https://stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/12/a-monster-momentum-shift-in-the-30-yr-yield-.html

[TREND1]

12/19 SystemTrader - Aggregating Trends and Oversold Conditions - Finance Sector is Most Oversold


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/12/systemtrader---aggregating-trends-and-oversold-conditions----finance-sector-is-most-oversold.html

[TREND1]

12/14 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Beware of the Next Dubious Support Level



https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/12/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video---beware-of-the-next-dubious-support-level.html

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12/13 Breadth Remains Weak on Reversal Attempt

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/12/breadth-remains-weak-on-reversal-attempt.html

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Missed 2

https://d.stockcharts.com/img/articles/2018/12/1544453962818877786101.png

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DEATH CROSSES


Defining the Death Cross

A classic death cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average moves below the 200-day SMA.
We have seen death crosses in the S&P Mid-Cap 400 on November 13th,
the S&P Small-Cap 600 on November 20th
and the Nasdaq 100 on December 4th.
The S&P 500 is the latest index to join the party with a death cross on Friday.
The Dow Industrials remains the hold out because the 50-day SMA is around 1.5% above the 200-day SMA.


https://d.stockcharts.com/img/articles/2018/12/15444539347401723352202.png

[TREND1]

12/10 SystemTrader - The Real Value of the Death Cross and Broad Market Signals


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/12/systemtrader---the-real-value-of-the-death-cross-and-broad-market-signals.html

[TREND1]

12/7 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Going Nowhere Fast



https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/12/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video----going-nowhere-fast.html

[TREND1]

11/30 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Bucking Bulls Create Volatile Ranges

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video----bucking-bulls-create-volatile-ranges-.html

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11/21/18 SPX ROC(1) $CPC:$RHCOMPQ 15 MONTHS



http://schrts.co/jWptkG

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11/21 UPS


https://stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/11/a-global-logistics-players-hits-resistance.html

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$SPX ROC(1) 15 MONTHS

http://schrts.co/tFCifn

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11/19 ... Making Adjustments ...

As traders and investors, it is important to understand the current market environment and adjust our strategy accordingly. Are we in a low volatility environment with a steady uptrend in the major stock indexes? Or, are we in a volatile environment with relatively big swings. I think we know the answer to this question.

The chart below shows the S&P 500 with four distinct periods over the last 15 months: two with low volatility and two with high volatility. The indicator window shows the 1-day Rate-of-Change with horizontal lines at +1% and -1%. The green shading highlights two low-volatility periods when the market advanced. Bulls love dull markets! The red shading shows when volatility expanded. Notice that these volatility expansions started with a sharp move lower.



The current market environment turned volatile in mid October and remained relatively volatile into November. The prior high-volatility period lasted around eight weeks. Prior to this, there was seven month period when volatility remained above average form August 2015 to February 2016. Boy was that fun. Not!

Nobody knows how long the current period will last, but volatility is currently above average and we can adjust our strategies accordingly. There are a number of ways to deal with volatility. First, we can raise cash and lower our exposure to equities. Second, we can become more selective and defensive. Third, we can look to diversify away from equities.

Chartists looking to remain active and trade during periods with above-average volatility also need to consider making adjustments. First, traders might consider trying to catch price swings earlier instead of waiting for a bigger breakout. Breakouts are more likely to fail in a volatile environment. Second, traders might consider booking profits earlier. Third, traders might also consider lowering their expectations.



http://schrts.co/tFCifn

[TREND1]

11/19 Volatility, Sentiment, Seasonality and Price - Oh My!


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/volatility-sentiment-seasonality-and-price---oh-my.html

[TREND1]

11/16 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Digesting the Breakdowns

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video----digesting-the-breakdowns.html

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11/14 The First Death Crosses Appear

https://www.stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/11/the-first-death-crosses-appear.html

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11/9 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - When Trends Loose Consistency

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video---when-trends-loose-consistency.html

[TREND1]

11/8 Healthcare Sector Stands Out - Plus HealthCare Providers, Medical Devices, a New High Scan and Nine Stocks

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/healthcare-sector-stands-out---plus-healthcare-providers-medical-devices-a-new-high-scan-and-nine-stocks.html

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11/7 SPY,QQQ,MDY,IJR

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11/7 Monitoring the Bounce in the Major Index ETFs, key Sectors, Tech-related ETFs and a Dozen Stocks

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/monitoring-the-bounce-in-the-major-index-etfs-key-sectors-tech-related-etfs-and-a-dozen-stocks.html

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11/5 How to (not) Trade the Elections


https://stockcharts.com/articles/dont_ignore_this_chart/2018/11/how-to-not-trade-the-elections.html

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11/5 Markets, News and the Percentage of Stocks above the 50-day EMA


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/markets-news-and-the-percentage-of-stocks-above-the-50-day-ema.html

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11/01 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Assessing October

Arthur Hill | November 01, 2018 at 12:09 PM


https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/11/weekly-market-review--outlook-with-video---assessing-october.html

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10/18 50/200 THE BEST SystemTrader - Reducing Moving Average Whipsaws with Smoothing and Quantifying Filters.

https://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2018/10/systemtrader---reducing-moving-average-whipsaws-with-smoothing-and-quantifying-filters-.html

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SEE OTHER BOARD

https://investorshub.advfn.com/TRADING-ART-HILL-1-29973/