Monday, March 31, 2014 10:44:38 AM
these being the results of the RENEW and PreSERVE studies around July of this year. Although the two events are not completely independent of one another since PCT cells are being used in both studies, let us assume they are independent more or less since different routes of administration are being used (myocardial injections versus coronary artery infusions). Independence is also arguable because the RENEW study uses CD 34 stem cells whereas the PreSERVE study uses enhanced CD 34/CC4 stem cells. Admittedly, there would be some interdependence but it would be hard to estimate.
Let us be conservative and assume the probability of the RENEW study being positive is 60% although Dr. Turik affirmed cardiopoiesis was present in 100% of cases, and let us assume additionally that the percentage chance of the PreSERVE study being positive is 70% although the fourth monitoring committee ruled in March 2014 that the study should continue. The point is not whether or not these percentages are accurate but that when there are two future events occurring about the same time the chance of one or the other occurring is greater than the chance of just one isolated event occurring.
If events A and B are independent, the probability that either A or B occurs is: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B). Therefore, P (A or B) = .6 + .7 - (.6*.&) + 0.88 or 90% chance. Subjectively, this seems too high a probability and yet there is a very high probability that one or the other studies will be positive, and let us assume that one or the other events being positive would be strong catalysts for NBS.
Recent LSTA News
- Lisata Therapeutics Announces First Patient Treated in the Second-line Cholangiocarcinoma Cohort of the BOLSTER Trial • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/17/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Participate in Upcoming September 2024 Industry and Investor Events • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/09/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics’ Certepetide Granted FDA Orphan Drug Designation for the Treatment of Cholangiocarcinoma • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/05/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Reports Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Provides Business Update • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/12/2024 08:05:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Report Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Provide a Business Update on Monday, August 12, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/05/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Haystack Oncology and Lisata Therapeutics Initiate Research Collaboration to Use the Haystack MRD™ Technology to Evaluate Efficacy of Pancreatic Cancer Therapy • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/18/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Announces Completion of Enrollment in its Phase 2a BOLSTER Trial of Certepetide in First-Line Cholangiocarcinoma • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/16/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics’ Certepetide Shows Promise in Improving Standard Treatment for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma in a Preclinical Model • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/10/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Announces Full Enrollment of Pancreatic Cancer Cohort of CENDIFOX Trial • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 06/13/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Participate in Upcoming June 2024 Industry and Investor Events • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/28/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Receives Paediatric Investigation Plan Waiver from the European Medicines Agency for Certepetide in Pancreatic Cancer • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/20/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Form EFFECT - Notice of Effectiveness • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/10/2024 04:15:16 AM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/09/2024 08:13:47 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Reports First Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Provides Business Update • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/09/2024 08:05:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Participate in Upcoming May 2024 Industry and Investor Events • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/08/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Report First Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Provide a Business Update on Thursday, May 9, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/02/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics and Qilu Pharmaceutical Announce First Patient Treated in Qilu’s Phase 2 Trial in China of LSTA1 in Patients with Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/23/2024 11:30:00 AM
- Lisata Therapeutics Announces U.S. FDA Orphan Drug Designation Granted to LSTA1 for the Treatment of Osteosarcoma • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/09/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Participate in Upcoming April 2024 Industry and Investor Events • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/03/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Announces U.S. FDA Rare Pediatric Disease Designation Granted to LSTA1 for the Treatment of Osteosarcoma • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/21/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Present at the Life Science Investor Forum on March 7ᵗʰ • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/04/2024 01:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics Reports Full Year 2023 Financial Results and Provides Business Update • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/29/2024 09:05:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Host Year-End 2023 Conference Call on Thursday, February 29, 2024 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/22/2024 01:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Present at BIO CEO & Investor Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/20/2024 01:00:00 PM
- Lisata Therapeutics to Present at the Sequire Investor Summit in Puerto Rico • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/18/2024 01:30:00 PM
VHAI - Vocodia Partners with Leading Political Super PACs to Revolutionize Fundraising Efforts • VHAI • Sep 19, 2024 11:48 AM
Dear Cashmere Group Holding Co. AKA Swifty Global Signs Binding Letter of Intent to be Acquired by Signing Day Sports • DRCR • Sep 19, 2024 10:26 AM
HealthLynked Launches Virtual Urgent Care Through Partnership with Lyric Health. • HLYK • Sep 19, 2024 8:00 AM
Element79 Gold Corp. Appoints Kevin Arias as Advisor to the Board of Directors, Strengthening Strategic Leadership • ELMGF • Sep 18, 2024 10:29 AM
Mawson Finland Limited Further Expands the Known Mineralized Zones at Rajapalot: Palokas step-out drills 7 metres @ 9.1 g/t gold & 706 ppm cobalt • MFL • Sep 17, 2024 9:02 AM
PickleJar Announces Integration With OptCulture to Deliver Holistic Fan Experiences at Venue Point of Sale • PKLE • Sep 17, 2024 8:00 AM