Saturday, February 15, 2014 12:38:33 PM
Market Update - weekend update
Posted on February 15, 2014
by tony caldaro
http://caldaro.wordpress.com/
The bull market of 2009 is now in its fifth year.
Historically five years is just about as old as they get.
Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets,
and only one lasted more than 5 years.
Probabilities suggest this one will end this year in 2014.
We continue to count this bull market as
Cycle wave [1] of the new Super cycle 3.
Cycle wave bull markets unfold in five Primary waves.
Primary waves I and I ended in 2011, and Primary III has been underway since then.
Primary III may have topped recently, however, the probability of that is gradually decreasing.
Primary wave I divided into five Major waves with a subdividing Major wave 1.
Primary III has also divided into five Major waves, but both Major waves 1 and 3 subdivided.
Should the current rally make new highs Major wave 5 is probably subdividing as well.
When Primary III does end, a substantial Primary IV correction will follow.
Then a Primary wave V to new highs will end the bull market.
It appears Primary IV may coincide with the four-year Presidential cycle low expected this year.
COMMODITIES
Bonds remain in an uptrend but lost 0.1% on the week.
Crude is uptrending and gained 0.2% on the week.
Gold’s uptrend finally moved higher gaining 4.1% on the week.
The USD is back in a downtrend and lost 0.7% on the week.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=96526105
Posted on February 15, 2014
by tony caldaro
http://caldaro.wordpress.com/
The bull market of 2009 is now in its fifth year.
Historically five years is just about as old as they get.
Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets,
and only one lasted more than 5 years.
Probabilities suggest this one will end this year in 2014.
We continue to count this bull market as
Cycle wave [1] of the new Super cycle 3.
Cycle wave bull markets unfold in five Primary waves.
Primary waves I and I ended in 2011, and Primary III has been underway since then.
Primary III may have topped recently, however, the probability of that is gradually decreasing.
Primary wave I divided into five Major waves with a subdividing Major wave 1.
Primary III has also divided into five Major waves, but both Major waves 1 and 3 subdivided.
Should the current rally make new highs Major wave 5 is probably subdividing as well.
When Primary III does end, a substantial Primary IV correction will follow.
Then a Primary wave V to new highs will end the bull market.
It appears Primary IV may coincide with the four-year Presidential cycle low expected this year.
COMMODITIES
Bonds remain in an uptrend but lost 0.1% on the week.
Crude is uptrending and gained 0.2% on the week.
Gold’s uptrend finally moved higher gaining 4.1% on the week.
The USD is back in a downtrend and lost 0.7% on the week.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=96526105
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