The latest COTs for gold are now quite bullish, with Commercial short positions having been scaled back substantially and Large Spec long positions having moderated substantially. Should gold now suffer a severe decline, these positions can be expected to get a lot more extreme, and should assist us in calling the bottom....
The dollar had little or rather no role to play in gold’s breakdown, as we can see on its 6-month chart. It appears to be topping out beneath a “Distribution Dome”, a view which is supported by its latest COT chart. Actually it has dropped away from its Dome rather quickly towards its rising 50-day moving average, so it is entitled to minor relief rally soon before it heads lower.
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