Saturday, July 09, 2011 12:22:54 PM
Let's hope that AAVG doesnt file any Motion to Withhold Information from Public Disclosure, thus giving the shareholders a chance to really dig into the business model. They are a fully reporting OTCQB company so their fins are ready available to the public. As far as disclosing their safety record... To the best of my knowledge and belief, Twin Air has a good safety record. I searched for news articles related to Twin Air plane crashes and found only one "crash" back in 2005, which really was just an emergency landing in the Atlantic and no one was injured. there may have been another in 2006 but the article could have been revisiting the 2005 incident. Other than that I found nothing more recent.
IMO this is why they have been PR'ing the loans and other financial deals they have been setting up. IMO AAVG is taking it's time to get this applications filed correctly to avoid delays.
I don't know why anyone would object... but now that I've buttered you all up with good news... here's some bad news:
So IMO even if AAVG files everything correctly, and very soon, we are looking at Christmas time for the DOT air carrier official approval.
Here is the link to the document I quoted above:
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/000/900/912/cacpkt.pdf
Once the application is filed we can follow the docket. The document referenced above provided a link to do so: [dms.dot.gov] - pg 8; however, I tried it and it's broken so I plan on calling over to the DOT next week to get the correct link.
Now back to the good news.
Once approved by the DOT, Twin Air can do what many other regional carriers do and "codeshare" w/ the larger airlines via lucrative "wet lease" agreements.
Code sharing is very common in the airline industry that benefits both the large and the regional carriers:
Flights from both airlines that fly the same route – this provides an apparent increase in the frequency of service on the route by one airline
Perceived service to unserved markets – this provides a method for carriers who do not operate their own aircraft on a given route to gain exposure in the market through display of their flight numbers.
A wet lease agreement means one airline, called the lessor (a regional like Twin Air), supplies a complete aircraft package to another airline, called the lessee (a large carrier like Delta or Continental). This complete package includes the aircraft, a crew, maintenance for the aircraft and insurance.
The lessee pays for fuel, airport fees, crew meals and transportation, crew visa fees and other taxes.
The lessor charges the lessee by the hour and usually requires a minimum number of hours. These hours are paid for even if they are not used.
So it's my best guess that, once operational, this internet based reservation software can be used to book directly w/ Twin Air. However, if the Twin Air plane isnt booked to full capacity, Twin Air can utilize the above mentioned codesharing and wet lease agreements to fill the rest of the seats! and depending on how many seats are filled by a wet lease, Twin Air could have it's fuel, wages, fees, and taxes paid for by another airline like Continental in part or in full based on the agreements!
some sources re: above --
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Codeshare_agreement#For_airlines
http://www.ehow.com/facts_5008631_what-wet-lease-agreement.html
Here's a good example of a small airline's website (Island Air out of Hawaii) that allows you to book directly with them:
http://www.islandair.com/
IMO looks pretty good and I will presume that Twin Air will have something similar. IMO Twin Air needs a serious upgrade to it's website anyway, and that will be a another great PR to anticipate.
Now, if Island Air can't sell out their seats using their own website, they have codeshare agreements with Continental Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, go!, and United Airlines.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Island_Air
there may be some regulation coming w/ regard to how sharecoding is utilized by the big airlines, specifically, they should disclose that when you switch planes to complete a trip to a less traveled destination (say, ATL to Savannah GA or something similar) that the public is made aware of the name of that regional carrier taking you to Savannah. So there stands a chance that this sort of regulation could hurt the small / regional carriers b/c big airlines (Continental does this stuff all the time) might not want to disclose this and might choose to just discontinue service to off-the-path locations. Conversely, a big airline might just look at a smaller regional carrier as an acquisition opportunity so they can put their logos on the planes they fly from MIA to Key West or the Bahamas. Anyone paying attn to the airline industry knows there has been an orgy of M&A in recent years. IMO It's possible Twin Air could have buyout potential, with shareholders reaping the benefits!
http://www.investorplace.com/31771/regional-airlines-face-code-share-crackdown/
BOTTOM LINE, DOT AIR CARRIER APPROVAL WILL BE HUGE FOR AAVG!
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