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Thursday, April 28, 2011 5:29:48 PM
Skip, I too was pleasantly surprised by the marked jump in share prices today...
I had believed that the reported earnings were mediocre, ... but at least not bad. I also had a neutral feeling about the tone of the CC .... although again, I didn’t think it was bad.
I was unenthused by the earnings report largely because:
1. The FY2011 Q2 revenue ($17.4M) is essentially the same as the quarterly average of FY2010 ($17.5M) when the economy was in worse shape than now. And it is substantially below the FY2009 quarterly average of about $20M (ignoring the $63M outlier in FY2009 Q1).
2. The Royalty and Licenses Income is essentially flat qtr-to-qtr and is at the lowest value since 2003.
3. The moving average of R&D income (over 4 qtrs) is flat rather than trending up.
4. And I felt, perhaps unfairly, that the reported earnings had an undeservably positive spin as a result of the following “determination” (as detailed in the 4/27/2011 8K describing the Q2 earnings):
Operating income would have been a loss of $2.9M instead of the reported gain of $2.0M.
Net Income would have been a loss of $4.3M instead of the reported gain of $2.5M (calculated by subtracting the $5.8M differential in the restated Q1 earnings).
Diluted earnings per share would have been a loss of ($0.22) instead of the reported gain of $0.14.
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