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Re: dragon52 post# 3946

Wednesday, 09/15/2010 10:55:57 AM

Wednesday, September 15, 2010 10:55:57 AM

Post# of 20669
here's an estimate

and that's why it's called speculation

If InoLife captures JUST 5% of the existing market share for Plavix and the 6M new prescriptions in the next 3 months, this is what the stock price would be at $250 cost:

$5.56

That's EBITDA, etc. But also without a multiple.

Lop off 40% for margin of error, and it's $3.34

Imagine if 50% market share, or 80%


legend:

5%Mkt share * 9M new Plavix users 3 months = 450,000

5%Mkt share * 48M Plavix users = 2.4M

128 OS

$250 cost