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Monday, 11/16/2009 11:46:57 PM

Monday, November 16, 2009 11:46:57 PM

Post# of 214
Thank you for your answer. I am a beginner so please bear with me.
I base this idea on a book called channel and cycles by B. J. Millard.

Prices fluctuate around a mean. They imitate a bell shaped curve. When prices are above or below a mean/moving average of +/- 1 standard deviation they exclude 68%of the price events near the mean on either side. 32% of the time they are greater than +/-
i Standard deviation. .32 x 12 months=3.84 or about 4 . Would not this be a good way to treat prices as a probability of where they are from the mean. To use their position in relation to the mean as a price trigger. Rather than a cross over of two averages?

Are the any Macro-Aim spreadsheets I could use or download? Are there any posts or written articles on it?

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