Brikk asked me to give some updated estimates on what I was thinking for the Assets and Liabilities.
Realize that these are just my thoughts and that each investor needs to do his/her own research and decisions.
As of the 12/31/08 Balance Sheet you have the following:
Assets = Approx. $295B
Liablites = Approx. $325B
We know that the marketplace bottomed in March of 2009. From that point we also know certain facts. Mainly that the S&P Leveraged Loan Index and High Yield Corporate Bonds are up 30-50% from the March lows.
If we use a 15% increase to the Asset portfolio (which is very conservatively marked according to Mr. Marsal) you get a new asset number of $347B.
We also know that in order for Trusts/Preferreds to get 100% of Face Value ($25 or $50)that it would take approx. $11B. Add that to the Liabilities of $325 and you get a number like $336B to cover the Trusts/Preferreds Face Value in total.
This does not take into account the claims, derivatives, legal actions etc.
We should see a new balance sheet coming in November according to the court dockets from the period extending the reorg timeframe.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.