** One of the Nine Closed BELOW Last Friday's CLOSING BOTTOM. ** Four of the Nine Closed TIED WITH Last Friday's CLOSING BOTTOM. ** Only One of the Nine Closed at a Point that it is Improbable that it can not make it to a New Closing Bottom, tomorrow. ** The other Four Closed at a Point that it is Possible that they could and would make a New Closing Bottom tomorrow, if there is Down Action Tomorrow.
So in Sum, if the Market Moves Down Tomorrow, over 1/4 to 1/3 of what those last 4 Sectors did Today, and very little moves by the Tied Sectors, there will be "at least New Intra-Day Lows" BELOW LAST FRIDAY'S CLOSING BOTTOM in EIGHT OF THE NINE Major Sectors.
This will cause At Least New Intra-Day Lows for many of the General Indices. There will need to be AGGRESSIVE action to Turn this Market. Minimum of Strong Action by FedMrtOpns.
SPX has presently covered very roughly 60% to 65% of its Rally. If there is a Downer of some size, it is possible it will go below its Channel lower DownTrendLine, however, there is a reasonable probablity that it would close within that Channel, above that lower DownTrendLine.
CBOE Total Put/Call Ratio was not Large Enough to call for a Turn.
Altho Volume picked up at Close, it was not enough to call for a WashOut. These are among the observations that make me think that there will need to be AGGRESSIVE action to Turn this Market. Minimum of Strong Action by FedMrtOpns. #1 Will the October Bottom Hold as the Lowest we have before we get out of this Recession that is here or coming? I think not, it will be tested over the coming years.
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