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Tuesday, 11/14/2017 4:40:15 PM

Tuesday, November 14, 2017 4:40:15 PM

Post# of 37913
Debt is exploding higher. What a recession it will make -

My comment: The article refers to years of deleveraging which means there were a lot of defaults (debt was not paid down, it was wiped clean). Both the credit card companies and Tesla are good shorts when the next recession hits.

The Fed Issues A Subprime Warning As Household Debt Hits A New All Time High : http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-14/fed-issues-subprime-warning-household-debt-hits-new-all-time-high
Excerpts:
After we first reported last week that US credit card debt once again rose above $1 trillion, despite a recent sharp downward revision to the data, while both student and auto loans rose to a fresh record high...... it would probably not come as a surprise that according to the just released latest quarterly household debt and credit report by the NY Fed, Americans' debt rose to a new record high in the second quarter on the back of an increase in every form of debt: from mortgage, to auto, student and credit card debt. Aggregate household debt increased for the 13th consecutive quarter, rising by $116 billion (0.9%) to a new all time high. As of September 30, 2017, total household indebtedness was $12.96 trillion, an increase of $605 billion from a year ago and equivalent to 66% of US GDP, versus a high of around 87% in early 2009. After years of deleveraging in the wake of the 2007-09 recession, household debt has risen more than 16.2% since the trough hit in the spring of 2013.

“While relatively low, credit card delinquency flows climbed notably over the past year,” said Andrew Haughwout, senior vice president at the New York Fed. “This is occurring within the context of loosening lending standards, as borrowers with lower credit scores recover their ability to access credit cards. The current state of credit card delinquency flows can be an early indicator of future trends and we will closely monitor the degree to which this uptick is predictive of further consumer distress.”

That bolded statement, was the first official warning by the Fed that the US consumer is sick, and the Fed has no way reasonable explanation for this troubling jump in delinquencies. As we said at the time, "timestamp it, because this will certainly not the be the last time the Fed warns about the dangerous consequences of all-time high credit card debt."

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