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Alias Born | 03/13/2017 |
Thursday, October 19, 2017 8:22:55 AM
While there is alot of competition in the marketplace, we do not need to win outright to explode. I think we will establish our Latino niche just fine. And that will be enough for major gains for the shareholders.
We literally have more spanish stations, than most other services have stations at all. And obviously, that is a big audience. Per 2015 USA Census, 37.5M speak spanish at home indicating its their primary language.
- 1% conversion would be 375,000 people.
- I imagine, at least 1% of that 37.5M may only speak spanish, making us their best and only option. And we may not get all of them, but they also wont be the only ones we get.
- Not to mention other countries.
Anything else is just gravy (general public, triad, cellular providers, UN, live targeted marketing(!), the other 99% above etc)... it will certainly be hard to get in that general market and dominate with how crowded its gotten, but we dont need to (and we still may since our tech is better).... but whatever happens with these will help us get a piece... and if anything actually ever happens with TMobile, its a game changer well beyond our wildest dreams.
We all win, if they can get their hands on as little as 27% of the 375K I identified above, after already whittling down the Latino market in a conservative manner. That is 100,000 customers and $42M revenue per year.
What is a good multiplier on growing recurring revenue bases with a global reach? 25x gets us to ~$1B and about $.35 per share. If you want to tell me only 5x revenue factor is reasonable, I can tell you we can hit 500,000 users out of the groups outlined above instead. If you want to multiply 500,000 users by 25x, then go ahead, I accept your $1.75 and retire.
If I was a gambling man (and boy am I)
- Id say it is a good risk to buy $10K at .002 or below, and take 5M shares and sweat the potential to lose it all
- Knowing the upside is on 5M shares is $1.75M - $8.75M as outlined above.
You'll know within 2 years if we made it or are gone. Probably not much middle ground, and I dont think its any bit likely that we are just gone.
We can all relax, we will get there, its such an easy path and we are right on the cusp of getting it done.
GLTA
OTTV
I posted something similar yesterday but it was tacked on to another response and lost in the shuffle... also amended math to take out the triad partnership, which will be good, but I think I may have made up the 3M customers number.
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