Ok . . . you then assume world population will not keep increasing in the next two decades . . . where are the new vehicle customers to come from?
IF the trend is to EVs with the average person trips to be 500 miles or less and with battery tech that charges in less than 10 minutes, or exchanges packs by robotics . . . that presently does not look like increasing pickup and SUV sales?
EVs will cost less if petro fuel prices increase, and they have less parts. Thus, service costs and parts costs have to go up to maintain F
revenues. Solar cells at home, at work, and on or in the vehicle body seem like what is coming down the road. How will F adapt to that?
As the population ages, I suspect less personal vehicles will be owned.
Self-driving taxis may be choice of many for local trips. If software is not F owned, they will have to pay to use it from other sources like MSFT and Goggle. The electronic guts of self-driving cars is something F may not be able to corner and thus another lost source of profiting for F. F also not talking about battery production either.
F future revenue sources appear to be reduced, due to above type of things.
USA just increased defense spending by $100 billion . . . where is the infrastructure spending increase to come from? Local and State tax increases? A lot of folks are going to have to chose between health care costs and food and heating needs, etc. That does not sound like an economic driver for new vehicle purchases. People are smarting up and budgeting for taxi use, rather than pay for auto insurance and petro costs and parking fees.
Looking around . . . its now being talked up that new jobs may come from tele-operating remote sited robots and activities. 3-D VR/AR entertainment will gradually bite into vehicle sales too.
F up for that?
