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Re: littlejohn post# 4984

Saturday, 09/09/2017 11:55:30 AM

Saturday, September 09, 2017 11:55:30 AM

Post# of 14508
thank you for this info LJ

re;
Euro model link...updates publicly about

1:00 pm Est and 1:00 am Est.


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2017090812&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=332


If you access the link, on the right

are tabs to tap to get the model

to go to 24 hr, 48 hr. etc ahead...


Not sure how often they update for

paid payers or weather services...


GFS model updates at about 5:00 am, 11:00 am,

5:00 pm, and 11:00 pm Est...


Don't have that link...


Nightly 11:00 pm est NHC update would

had new GFS run and at 1:00 am est should

have new Euro model run included...


Fluid situation though and models

depend on new data and take time

to run new data...


Around 11:00 pm est, the hurricane hunters

were completing Irma flyover that will

have new info with Cuba contact...


So, new model runs released about

5:00 am est on Saturday will show

newer data and could by 1:00 pm

Saturday publicly by Euro...


So it shows the fluid interaction

of data needed and time for model

runs to forcast a big hurricane...


All info accumulated on a best task

basis but may be off on anything...


So heeding warnings and hoping for

data that improves things is the

common sense approach...LJ

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