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What is the revenue potential of ZJMY?

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Deerock   Thursday, 08/10/17 04:53:10 PM
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What is the revenue potential of ZJMY?

Tens and Hundreds of Millions, if not Billions.

Let’s look at raw facts, make basic assumptions, and yield rough projections…

#1 – SELL ELECTRIC VEHICLES

ZJMY establishes strategic JV/equity partnerships with auto OEMs in China

i.e. ZJMY provides battery system and Long Star provides chassis and assembling of low-end EVs
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133028011

Long Star is an EV mass-production company with 1 billion yuan invested into its production base…
http://www.jjxdd.com/about/

Long star has two production bases – one in Shandong region and the other in Guangxi. The two sites cover vast areas of south and north China. Each site has capacity of 300 vehicles per day.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133028011

Long Star set up a new entity Guangxi Long Star New Energy Vehicle Technology Co, under which it invested into a new production base in Guangxi region with annual output of 150,000 EVs
http://www.jjxdd.com/news/505.html

ZJMY has also been focused on Guangxi region… where they inaugurated a train, held their ASEAN conference, signed up new domestic/foreign customers, and donated to the Guangxi public security
http://news.asean168.com/a/20170626/14059.html

For speculation, let’s assume that ZJMY co-invested with Long Star into Guangxi New EV Technology Co, and their revenue splits were negotiated amongst them as such => Long Star 60% vs ZJMY 40%
ZJMY is selling low EV’s on its ecommerce site for 33,000 yuan => $5,000
http://athmall.com/get_merchantsgoods_details.shtml?id=57089

Guangxi Co’s annual output potential… $5,000 x 150K = $750 million
Long Star’s annual revenue potential… $750M x 60% = $450 million
ZJMY’s annual revenue potential… $750M x 40% = $300 million

That said, there are whispers that the company has sold “thousands” since April...
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133028011

So let’s just say we have sold 10,000 EV’s since April, that’s 2000/month and 24,000/ year

ZJMY’s short-term revenue potential… $5K x 24K EVs x 40% share = $48 million


#2 – SELL ELECTRIC BATTERIES

ZJMY sells high-end EV batteries and support systems to auto OEMs in China

i.e. ZJMY supplies batteries and support systems to Chery Automobile Co, Ltd.

Chery was founded by the Government, to become a top auto OEM in China…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chery

Cowin Auto (a division of Chery) is using ZJMY batteries for its EV edition of V3s
http://www.cowinhome.com/index.php?route=home/v3

Chery buys battery from ZJMY for 50,000 Yuan => $7,000
Chery sells Kay Wing V3 EV’s for 288,000 Yuan => $40,000
Chery is said to have an order from network => 100,000 EVs
http://www.sohu.com/a/121137053_430921

Chery’s long-term revenue potential… $40K x 100K = $4 billion
ZJMY’s long-term revenue potential… $7K x 100K = $700 million

That said, let’s say we use actual performance to forecast future potential...

From Jan to April 2017, Chery’s Cowin division sold a total of 20,220 vehicles. Cowin has 4 models in market. On average, that is 1263 vehicles sold per model per month. If we multiply that by 12 months, we get 15,156 vehicles sold per model per year – not accounting for strong (100% y/y) sales trend.
http://www.sohu.com/a/139533264_115342

Chery’s short-term revenue potential… $40K x 15K = $600 million
ZJMY’s short-term revenue potential… $7K x 15K = $105 million


#3 – SELL TRANSIT ADVERTISING

ZJMY is expected to produce 100,000 commuter buses and operate them at the company's cost. The commuters will get a free ride, and ZJMY will generate revenue from advertisement
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133028011

Bus interior ads are said to conservatively sell for $40/month x 25 ads minimum = $1000 / month
http://www.bluelinemedia.com/bus-advertising/bus-interior

ZJMY’s month revenue potential… $1000 x 100,000 buses = $100 million
ZJMY’s annual revenue potential… $100M x 12 months = $1.2 billion



AND MUCH MORE TO COME…


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