"The solid tumor Phase III transition success rate (34.2%, n=260) ended up as the lowest for any of the major disease categories
studied. Solid tumor drugs for pancreatic cancer seemed to have the toughest challenges in Phase III studies (13.3%, n=15).
However, Phase III success rates for Ovarian and Gastric cancers also fell below 30%. "
Now this is what I did. Since 13.3% out of average 40% of phase 3 success is 1/3 I took the 1/3 And used it in the phase 2 average which is 24% so 1/3 of 24 is 8 so approximately 8% to pass phase 2 but it's not true it's around 4% or 5% because ph3 is easier to pass so it's not linear and it should be less than 1/3 but I assumed linear comparison . Do u understand what I did ? Since the pdf has specific info of chance of success in ph3 per cancer type but missing the info of phase 2 success in SPECIFIC CANCER TYPE I just took the relative numbers and assumed linear but it's not linear
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