NanoViricides Inc. (NNVC)

[drkazmd65]

The problem with any model - including this particular one - is that it only can work with what is known as fact, and with what can be conjectured within the parameters of the model as it was designed.

It cannot take into account what the effect of something like getting a drug to clinical testing would be - unless the modeler has built that into his or her model to begin with.

That is to say - using the past only with NNVC as a guide - and making the assumption that nothing new will happen to change the trajectory - I would agree. The company will run out of money in a year or so,... and would have to attempt dilutive financing,... and that dilutive financing would further depress the share prices,.... and so on.

Those who do think that bankruptcy is likely for NNVC should definitely plan their buying/selling/trading accordingly.

I'll just continue to opportunistically grab some more shares in the meantime as my available 'at risk' capital allows.