Sunday, April 23, 2017 12:27:17 PM
The presumption is the better informed investors, who have more money to play with because they are better informed will jostle the price more than the little uninformed trader/investor.
Not always the case, of course. Ackman who has a ton of money to play with got VRX wrong. But the technicals gave glaringly correct signals. In Aug 2015 the acceleration signature was > 5 standard deviations below the mean. That says something....to technicians. Somebody knows something and it ain't good. Perhaps there was something in the fundamentals and filings that said the same thing. I don't know how to read that stuff.
That signal was enough for me to bail out. I kept reading all the statements the smart fundamental guys. I recall an interview with Ackerman in October of '15 after the acceleration signature had gone even more negative ( - 10 sigma) and he was very bullish. I figured it the stock was going back up it would have to do it without me on board.
I must admit I was tempted on the way down to go back in but after the 14 week RSI went below 20 that fact prevented me from doing so.
I may consider a long in VRX again but I would need to see certain technical patters in momentum and divergence.
I will continue to read the board to see what smart people like you can tell me about the filings. I know they are rich with information. I also know I don't know how to dig it out. So keep those comments coming.
thanks
Trendliner
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