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Tuesday, April 04, 2017 11:45:35 AM
Actually, in the end facts are everything. Short term anything can happen especially with micro cap stocks like VCEL. With enough capital, people can manipulate the share price. But that only works for so long. Ultimately all stocks reach a price level that somewhat resembles their level of success or failure.
So all us poor investors can do is speculate as to what that price might be. We can take wild guesses or try to predict based upon what knowledge we are able to glean.
What we know now:
1. MACI has been FDA approved.
2. It fills a big need in the area of solving knee problems between Microfracture and Total Knee Replacement.
3. There are about 700,000 TKR surgeries per year.
4. If MACI gets 1% of those it would be 7000 procedures per year.
5. That would amount to $308M in revenues.
6. Haven't seen numbers for Microfracture procedures per year but it has to be many thousands. MACI could get plenty of that business.
7. Vericel market cap right now is $88M.
So without even adding in the many millions of revenue from Epicel, and anything from ixCell, just based upon getting a tiny fraction of the knee surgery market, how much should the market cap grow in the next 1 to 3 years?
"I...do not think this is some kind of 10 bagger."
Why not?
Recent VCEL News
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/18/2024 08:10:30 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/13/2024 08:05:23 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/12/2024 08:16:40 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/11/2024 08:55:33 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/05/2024 08:06:32 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/05/2024 08:05:37 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/04/2024 02:25:18 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/03/2024 05:27:28 PM
- Vericel to Present at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference on Friday, September 6, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/29/2024 01:17:16 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/26/2024 12:03:45 PM
- Vericel Announces FDA Approval and Commercial Availability of MACI Arthro • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/26/2024 11:45:47 AM
- Form S-3ASR - Automatic shelf registration statement of securities of well-known seasoned issuers • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/16/2024 08:06:06 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/16/2024 08:05:17 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/15/2024 09:03:13 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/15/2024 08:08:47 PM
- Vericel Announces FDA Approval of NexoBrid for the Treatment of Pediatric Patients with Severe Thermal Burns • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/15/2024 08:05:00 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/14/2024 08:17:26 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/09/2024 08:05:22 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/07/2024 08:11:15 PM
- Vericel to Present at the Canaccord Genuity Growth Conference on Wednesday, August 14, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/07/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/01/2024 01:05:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/01/2024 12:04:34 PM
- Vericel Reports Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/01/2024 11:55:00 AM
- Vericel Announces Appointment of Karen Mahoney as Chief Human Resources Officer • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/22/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/19/2024 08:05:12 PM
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