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Thursday, March 16, 2017 9:49:42 AM
We know they are a 47% improvement. We just don't know the base.
1. QOQ (Q4 of 2015): 4.26M X 1.47 = 6.26M
2. QOQ (Q3 of 2016): 6.657M X 1.47 = 9.786M
I'm 90/10 it'll be a "9". Let's take Q4 sales ($9.8M) * 4 quarters * historic CAGR of 27% = ~$50M projection for 2017 revenues.
27% is hard to maintain the bigger one gets. But they have China and they have the line extension, so a decent case is 27% is too low. But I'm gonna use the historic benchmark here (27% CAGR).
Over 44M shares * $4.40 = market cap of $194M. That's almost 4x FTM future sales. That's a big number. If the first number is a "6", it's gonna be a problem for the share price.
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