we know he was paid $308M in 2009 by docomo, for their 51% stake in roche's 'oak lawn marketing', and roche still retains his 49% stake according to his bio linked above.
DCM paid $308M for 51% of OLM in 2009. that was at the bottom of a market crash, but let's be conservative and say OLM never grew. is $307M a fair price right now, for 49%? we'll plug that in:
roche owns 226.65M shares of RVUE, if we assume he adds all 77.28M shares of the bridge loan, that makes the new OS (285.28M + 77.28M) 362.56M shares. on assets of $307M he's got .85/share, which for him is $257.35M.
keep in mind this back-of-napkin pps above has no pe ratio. shouldn't we grant a growing tech company at least a 15 multiple? okay, let's do that:
$12.70 a share RVUE.
plus we'll have roche give RVUE a bunch of advertising contracts for the private companies he controls AND he can use RVUE for ATV's advertising, too. let’s give all that a value of ZERO, just to be conservative.
then we'll assume roche uses some of his $100M from the sale of ATV stock to start buying RVUE's competition in #DOOH. we'll give that a value of ZERO also.
$12.70/share is a $4.6 billion market cap... with room to grow.
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