Friday, January 06, 2017 10:00:06 AM
The order was filled at 11:42:55 am.*
I guess I'll start averaging down on XIV at about $90, after it drops 10% from $100. Maybe in a week or two.*
In other words, I'm not very good at predicting where it will go next.*
Before the big one hits, you can always go to cash.*
At least we got a move from $7.62 to $8.92 in late December, as the VIX went from 10.93 to 14.63;*
The VIX went up about 33%, while UVXY went up about 17%.*
So, it looks like a VIX at about 11 is good for a rise in UVXY of 15%, if you can catch it just right.*
A more cautious expectation might work even better, if you ask 10% or 5% from the bottom.*
If the VIX goes down to about 11, and if you can time it just right, and if the pattern holds.*
A small gain is better than a big loss.*
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