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Re: fuagf post# 250273

Tuesday, 12/06/2016 3:00:53 PM

Tuesday, December 06, 2016 3:00:53 PM

Post# of 478430
Trump and China: Beijing leadership sees 'huge chance' as president-elect flags isolationist approach

"The U.S. and China’s Nine-Dash Line: Ending the Ambiguity "

.. Peter Costello Liberal (Aussi conservative) a former Australian treasurer just returned from China and
said China saw the election of Trump as an opportunity for them .. that comment prompted this post ..


By North Asia correspondent Matthew Carney

Updated 10 Nov 2016, 9:13am


Photo: For now, it's wait and see on Donald Trump's China stance (AP: Susan Walsh)

Related Story: Despite some similarities, not all Brexiteers love Trump
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/despite-some-similarities-not-all-brexiteers-love-trump/8011550

Related Story: Uhlmann: What kind of leader will Donald Trump be?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/what-kind-of-leader-will-donald-trump-be/8011638

Related Story: Trump's victory ratchets up uncertainty in the Middle East
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/middle-east-reacts-to-trump's-victory/8011544

Map: China .. http://www.google.com/maps/place/China/@35,105,5z

With the election of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the United States the world enters a new and uncertain
era — and the relationship that Mr Trump strikes with China will be critical to global stability and growth.


During the campaign Mr Trump bashed China to win votes at home. His message was blunt — China was "raping" the US economy, stealing millions of jobs, and was a currency manipulator.

He has promised to take decisive action, but now he is the new president-elect the Chinese are unsure of what to expect.

Political commentator Professor Xie Tao from Beijing Foreign Language University said all bets were off.

"You just don't know him, he's never had a single day in office," he said.

"The learning curve for Trump will be long, so Chinese leaders will have to get ready for a long period of learning with Trump."

The president-elect has not given the Chinese leadership any clear or consistent indication on where he will take the relationship.

On the positive side, some in the leadership think Mr Trump, as a businessman and negotiator, may start afresh and that could provide an opportunity for China to secure more benefits.

But at this stage it's wait and see. Mr Trump hasn't picked his China team.

Analysis .. 3 of 6 ..

* Daniel: What will a Trump presidency mean for the world?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-09/what-will-donald-trump-presidency-mean-for-world/8010944

* Cassidy: Australia not immune from Trump's global waves
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/barrie-cassidy-trumps-victory-to-make-global-waves-australia/8012614

* Should we be scared of Trump's access to nuclear weapons?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-11/donald-trump-access-to-nuclear-weapons-should-we-be-scared/8017276

On the strategic and security front, the Chinese leadership prefer Mr Trump over Hillary Clinton. As secretary of state they saw Mrs Clinton as the architect and driver of the American pivot into Asia.

Mr Trump, on the other hand, has said Japan and South Korea should look after their own defences and should not rely on America.

Professor Xie Tao said that would be a godsend for China.

"If the US is alienating Japan and South Korea and US troops leave the region, it's a huge chance for China," he said.

"That is yet to be seen, but the leadership in China will be hoping Trump as president may scale back the pivot to Asia, and therefore (also scale back) America's push back against China's claims and control over the South China Sea."

The Chinese have been alarmed at Mr Trump's talk of throwing out trade treaties and increasing the tariffs on Chinese goods to 45 per cent, which would be damaging for the Chinese economy.

But they have also dismissed the president-elect as an irrational loudmouth.

Foreign Policy advisor to senior Chinese leadership, Professor Jin Canrong, said China was ready for a Trump presidency.

"China is not afraid of any other country — that's the most important reality of world today. China can handle any challenges including military challenges, no problem," he said.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/trump-and-china-us-election-analysis/8011828

See also:

Will Trump win push Malaysia into China’s embrace?
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=126514693


It was Plato who said, “He, O men, is the wisest, who like Socrates, knows that his wisdom is in truth worth nothing”

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