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Re: rooster post# 258990

Monday, 10/24/2016 4:27:45 PM

Monday, October 24, 2016 4:27:45 PM

Post# of 482887
Who Will Be President?

By JOSH KATZ UPDATED an hour ago

The Upshot’s elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls.

A victory by Mr. Trump remains possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a 30-yard field goal.

From now until Election Day, we’ll update our estimates with each new poll, as well as collect the ratings of other news organizations. You can chart different paths to victory below.

Here’s how our estimates have changed over time:

(Interactive chart)
Clinton 92%, Trump 8%

...

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html#other-forecasts

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