Oil & Gas - Energy - Commodities - Resources (OILBRENT)

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Rebound In Crude Oil Prices Trigger Big Gains In Energy
By Tom Bowley

* August 20, 2016

The bottoming formation in crude oil ($WTIC) continues to take shape and the beneficiary clearly has been the energy ETF (XLE). Since dipping below $40 per barrel to begin August, the WTIC has rallied more than 20% in the past three weeks and is now nearing $50 per barrel. A break above $50-$52 per barrel would be technically significant as it would confirm a bottoming (and quite symmetrical) reverse head & shoulder pattern with a measurement above $70 per barrel. Check out the pattern:



The pattern does require a breakout for confirmation, but the possibility of a bottom in crude oil has sent traders scurrying into energy shares with the XLE performing very well relative to the benchmark S&P 500. I would continue to overweight the energy space as long as the relative uptrend remains in play. Check out the relative chart:



Note that both relative support and the relative uptrend line both intersect at .031. Unless this area of support is violated, I'd continue to overweight energy stocks.

Happy trading!

Tom

http://stockcharts.com/articles/chartwatchers/2016/08/rebound-in-crude-oil-prices-trigger-big-gains-in-energy.html

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