Friday, August 05, 2016 12:02:37 PM
by Tyler Durden
Jul 30, 2016 4:28 PM
Gold Now in a Sustained, Structural Bull Market; On Average, History
Suggests ~175% Incremental Upside
The last time we discussed gold on the site was a few weeks back in
this post; therein we suggested a break-down in USDZAR was at hand and
that should history hold, it would help propel and/or coincide with
additional upside in the metal.
However, the above was merely a tactical, nearer-term call.
Strategically, it’s been even longer since we updated our longer-term
framework for gold.
In fact, it’s been three months since we did that in this post.
In that May piece we suggested the metal continued to track favorably
vs. our bullish expectations, but in the near-term it faced a major
test having rallied nearly +25% off its Dec-15 low, a historical
demarcation point whereby cyclical retracement rallies were either
snuffed out with a resumption of a secular bear beginning afresh, or,
the same moves continued higher, indicative of a new secular bull
being underway.
Where do we now stand vs. that +25% demarcation point?
As of month-end today, gold is up over 27% from its Dec-15 lows.
This a major milestone – any time gold has managed a move of at least
25% off a major low, it has continued higher every single time with
incremental gains ranging from 21%-412%, with the average totaling
175%.
In the chart below I’ve used the vertical, dotted green lines to show
any month where gold closed at least 25% off a major low for the first
time; the bright green annotations show the incremental upside for the
metal until another major peak was put in place following these
signals;
the red annotations show that gold’s two major head-fake rallies off
noteworthy lows – those being the 1993 and initial 1999 lows –
never managed to get to +25% off those lows, stalling out just
below +24% and +17%, respectively.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-30/gold-passes-major-milestone
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=124156453
Chinas plan to shock the world...
http://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=A86.J5EzFpVXKGEARRInnIlQ;_ylu=X3oDMTByb2lvbXVuBGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg--/RV=2/RE=1469417140/RO=10/RU=http%3a%2f%2fkingworldnews.com%2fchinas-plan-b-is-about-to-shock-the-world-and-the-gold-market%2f/RK=0/RS=60oW33yWY2qu.FbxadaHTHwg360-
chevy56
Caledonia Mining Corp. (CALVF) Dividend 4.75% yield
can't bet that at the bank.
Looks like some are buying now for the div.
gold goes to $3,000 per oz and this could have a
div of over $1.00
jmo by jsc52033 thank you -
http://investorshub.advfn.com/Caledonia-Mining-Corporation-CALVF-5294/
- God Bless -
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