Thursday, August 04, 2016 11:23:22 AM
Transocean: A Clean Beat But Still a Sell
http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2016/08/04/transocean-a-clean-beat-but-still-a-sell/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo
By Ben Levisohn
Shares of Transocean (RIG) have jumped today following its surprise profit. Citigroup’s Scott Gruber calls it “a clean beat” but still rates Transocean a Sell:
Transocean reported adjusted 2Q EPS of 17c, beating our estimate of 0c and consensus of -1c. The quality beat was driven by stronger improvements to cost control than expected (-13%), contributing ~16c of the delta. A low tax rate also contributed ~2c to the beat.
Revenues vs Citi and Consensus — Transocean’s quarterly recurring revenue of $934mm was slightly ahead of our estimate of $921mm and consensus of $922mm, with some of the delta likely driven by increased revenue efficiency. Revenue continues to roll with contracts as expected, with this period’s sales down 23% vs 1Q and down 50% vs the same period last year…
Transocean’s stock should have a positive reaction to the results, given the sizeable beat on EBITDA and the bottom line. In addition, while the other drillers have essentially matched cost cutting expectations this quarter, Transocean’s beat is a positive outlier. The question going forward is how much lower can costs be lowered through the downcycle. However, while the company continues to make improvements in operating efficiency, our modeling points to valuation downside given its large exposure to fifth gen assets that are likely to remain indefinitely mothballed; our rating for the stock is Sell.
"Then there was a woman, a lion of a woman."
Recent RIG News
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/08/2024 01:26:21 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces Consent Solicitation for 8.375% Senior Secured Notes due 2028 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/01/2024 10:43:37 AM
- Transocean Ltd. Reports First Quarter 2024 Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/29/2024 09:24:04 PM
- U.S. Futures Rise in Pre-Market Trading Amid Key Federal Reserve Meeting and Earnings Week Ahead • IH Market News • 04/29/2024 11:12:54 AM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces Results of Tender Offers • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/18/2024 11:23:02 AM
- Transocean Ltd. Provides Quarterly Fleet Status Report • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/17/2024 08:49:36 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces the Pricing Terms of Pending Tender Offer • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/17/2024 05:46:18 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces Pricing of Upsized Private Offering of Senior Notes Due 2029 and Senior Notes Due 2031 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/11/2024 10:25:10 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces Cash Tender Offers • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/11/2024 12:54:33 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces Proposed Private Offering of Senior Notes Due 2029 and Senior Notes Due 2031 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/11/2024 12:54:11 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces First Quarter 2024 Earnings Release Date • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/10/2024 08:23:38 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Announces $195 Million Ultra-Deepwater Drillship Contract • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/01/2024 08:24:16 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/06/2024 10:25:44 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/06/2024 12:17:33 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/06/2024 12:13:49 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/06/2024 12:12:29 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/29/2024 09:32:47 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/29/2024 09:28:07 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/20/2024 11:04:11 AM
- Transocean Ltd. Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/19/2024 10:21:07 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/14/2024 09:42:59 PM
- Transocean Ltd. Provides Quarterly Fleet Status Report • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/14/2024 09:20:52 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/12/2024 10:15:19 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/12/2024 10:12:38 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/12/2024 10:11:20 PM
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