Monday, May 30, 2016 10:26:38 AM
Let’s say that the price of the cans will be cut in half from $5.00 per can to $2.50 per can. Now let’s do the math to figure a fundamental valuation for NHMD if they achieve their goals.
NHMD filed an 8-K with the SEC on 05/03/2016 @ 6:12AM that a large manufacturing company can help NHMD sell over 2,000,000 Units/Cans Per Month:
Let’s do the math.
2,000,000 Cans Per Month x $2.50 per can = $5,000,000 Revenues Per Month
$5,000,000 Revenues Per Month x 12 Months = $60,000,000 Revenues Per Year
NHMD Share Structure Per Website:
NHMD would trade within the Sector called Consumer Goods and further exist within the Industry called Processed & Packaged Goods which has a Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio of 32.90 as of 27 May 2016:
https://biz.yahoo.com/p/342conameu.html
Now we can derive a valuation if NHMD was to meet this demand of being able to sell with its large manufacturing company over 2,000,000 Units Per Month. Let’s put together the ”Key NHMD Variables” to be able to assess a fundamental valuation.
Key NHMD Variables
** 2,000,000 Cans Per Month x $2.50 per can = $5,000,000 Revenues Per Month
** $5,000,000 Revenues Per Month x 12 Months = $60,000,000 Revenues Per Year
** Presume 20% Net Profit Margin
** $60,000,000 Revenues Per Year x .20 Net Profit Margin = $12,000,000 Net Income
** Outstanding Shares (OS) per NHMD Website = 249,106,891 Shares
** P/E Ratio for the Processed & Packaged Goods Industry = 32.90
https://biz.yahoo.com/p/342conameu.html
(P/E Ratios are confirmed from Yahoo link above as of 27 May 2016.)
Net Income ÷ OS = EPS
EPS X P/E Ratio = Share Price Valuation
$12,000,000 ÷ 249,106,891 Shares (OS) = .048 EPS
.048 EPS x 32.90 P/E Ratio = $1.57 Per Share Price Valuation
The question is… Is $1.57 a fair valuation for NHMD?
Well… No… Yes… or … Maybe.
It comes down to those variables remaining constant to actually happen. For any variable that would change, then use the ”Substitution Property” to replace any variable as deemed necessary. If NHMD can have manufactured and sells over 2,000,000 cans per month at approximately at $2.50 per can on a regular basis as insinuated, then there is a good chance that the $1.57 valuation could become a reality. If they only do half then consider half of such valuation to be a fair consideration.
Let’s take it one step further. This pancake batter per can is not going to be the only product that they will be offering to generate Revenues given some of its management’s past achievements posted below where from 2002 – 2012, products from Nate generated approximately $185 Million:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=122812606
As more is released regarding these other items to be produced/manufactured and sold, this will enhance the valuation of NHMD much more.
Still, to consider a few steps of importance further, NHMD has filed some 8-Ks with potentially bringing their product to Kroger, QVC, and ConAgra of which all are multi-billion dollar companies and could very well possess the support to deliver to NHMD to meet the over 2,000,000 cans that they believe will be met. See the 8-Ks below that NHMD filed with the SEC:
Kroger and QVC 8-K:
http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=71307703
ConAgra 8-K Filed with the SEC:
http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=71366244
Kroger is a $34.06 Billion company that has 431,000 employees and trades on the NYSE at over $35.00+ per share under the ticker of KR:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=KR+Key+Statistics
https://www.linkedin.com/company/kroger
http://www.thekrogerco.com/
QVC is a $12.23 Billion company that has over 10,000 employees and trades on the NASDAQ at over $27.00+ per share under the ticker of QVCA:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=QVCA+Key+Statistics
https://www.linkedin.com/company/qvc
http://www.qvc.com/
http://www.libertyinteractive.com/
ConAgra Foods, Inc. is a $19.77 Billion company that has over 10,001 employees and trades on the NYSE at over $45.00+ per share under the ticker of CAG:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=CAG+Key+Statistics
https://www.linkedin.com/company/conagra-foods?trk=ppro_cprof
http://www.conagrafoods.com/
The above value of the companies that NHMD has filed 8-Ks with the SEC to be in talks with definitely confirms that there is a possibility that a huge deal could be closed. Given the history of success from this management, I think it is fair to believe that something huge just might be in the mix to justify why they filed within their 8-K the belief of having a large manufacturer that can help them to sell over 2,000,000 units/cans per month. The achievements of this management generating approximately $185 Million from previous products should not be ignored:
v/r
Sterling
Sterling's Trading & Investing Strategies:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=39092516
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