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Friday, 02/19/2016 10:05:35 PM

Friday, February 19, 2016 10:05:35 PM

Post# of 158
Has The Market Crash Only Just Begun?
zerohedge.com
02/19/2016

Having successfully called the market's retreat in the fall of 2015, Universa's Mark Spitznagel is not taking a victory lap as he warns Bloomberg TV that "the crash has only just begun."

Investors are facing the most binary "let's make a deal" market in history in Spitznagel's view: choose Door #1 to bet on Keynesianism, central planners, and monetary interventionism; or Door #2 to bet on free markets and natural price discovery.

"There is massive cognitive dissonance here," Spitznagel explains as history teaches us that door #2 is the right choice... but it's not possible to do that today as investors have been coerced to choose door #1, but when door #1 is slammed open "we will see that dreaded black swan monster."

That is what is going on right now:

"Investors want to go with The Fed when it's working - like David Zervos... the problem is, when do you know that it is not working?"
"At some point this stops working..."

"the market is going through a resolution process, transitioning from the cognitive dissonance of Door #1 to the harsh reality of Door #2... if everyone were to change doors at the same time, that is a market crash... it can't be done in a non-messy way."
Must watch reality check behind the smoke and mirrors we call markets... (we note Mark's excellent analogy starting at around 3:10)


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-19/has-market-crash-only-just-begun

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