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Re: Whalatane post# 65633

Thursday, 11/26/2015 1:05:00 PM

Thursday, November 26, 2015 1:05:00 PM

Post# of 424150
Kiwi,
I will be brief also. You and Chas are making the same statement, but from different perspectives.
If the risk for the group is calculated at 5% year and one subject is in the study for a year while another is in for a week, the odds of a subject having an event is about 50 times greater in the year subject than the week.
Also, if you have 100 patients in a study that starts on Jan 1 and ends Dec 31 with 5% risk, if
a) all enrolled Jan 1, then you should have about 5 events, but if
b) 10 enrolled per month, you would have about 2-3 events.
If Reduce It was fully enrolled beginning of 2012, we would have had 967 in 2014, so I think we all agree that is not what happened as we are now approaching 2016.
My prior post where I concur with HG is a totally different statement that is independent of the above.
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