Tuesday, August 25, 2015 7:03:15 PM
It's not my break-even point - it's a simple calculation. And although the most recent number has gone down from $13 million to $12 million per quarter, there are several important things to remember.
A few years ago, their break-even was $12 million in sales per year - they now need 4 times the sales that they did in order to break even (they increased costs too quickly).
So far they've cut expenses for a single quarter; the next quarterly report will show quarterly expenses back to $2.5 -$3 million.
Revenue isn't growing that much. They had decent growth in 2013, but they really coasted in 2014 - it just looks bigger since the first quarters of 2013 are smaller. Look at the last 4 quarters reported. 2 quarters at $2.5 million and 2 at $2.1 million. Growth has slowed to a crawl.
He was off on revenue for last year and overstated by $1 million; I was actually closer. For this year, he predicted $20 million then cut it to $17 million. Right now they're on course for $12 million and that's my number.
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