Avid Bioservices Inc (CDMO)

[ritualrain10]

Question on possible first look in. After many mathematical models and changes in assumption...I have decided to simplify it and go with something simple.

In order to get to the allotted amount of patients by the end of this year, we would have had to post an average of 24 patients a month. If we assume only 2 patients posted in January 2014, 4 in Feb, 8 in March, 12 in April, and finally the full 24 in May...this would put us at the possible number of 192 patients that need to event around October 2014. Does that sound remotely correct?

If so, and no first look in until July of 2015 so far...that would mean the average eventing would be roughly 5 months for control arm, and almost 12 months for Bavi.

Obviously these are just overall averages and things are obviously changing every month. And potentially some patients in the control arm would event at various times...as well as the Bavi arm...But an average has SOME merit...right?

Any thoughts would be welcome. Its too damn hot here in France right now and I need to stop thinking so much lol

Hope you are all having a Happy Independence Day back stateside! Remember you are free because of the brave.