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Re: Rawnoc post# 108685

Thursday, 03/05/2015 9:29:00 PM

Thursday, March 05, 2015 9:29:00 PM

Post# of 146291
I for one never said the testing would take only a few weeks. My guess was 3 months, not based on any detailed knowledge, just on the rule that everything in biotech takes at least 3 months. Although we might get the in vitro only tests announced sooner.

Now I may be way too pessimistic, maybe all the results will come out in two weeks, but I just won't be surprised if it takes 3 months.

I think it's weird how many people are sure the very next step will go lickity split when every single prior stop took two, three, five, or ten times longer than anybody imagined.

Now as for whether the results will be good or bad, I can't even guess. Of course the bulls are all near certain Ebolacide2 will work, even though Ebolacide1 was a bust. Maybe Diwan is right and targeting a different receptor will work. Or maybe Ebola still has a surprise in store.

If Ebolacide2 doesn't work, I fully expect to see NNVC below $2. However much some of the people here say a failure of Ebolacide2 doesn't invalidate the platform, that's not how the market will see it. They will see how NNVC jumped on the Ebola scare to prove that with their platform they can crank out cure in weeks. (Actually, of course, from start to finish will be over a year.) NNVC can't have it two ways -- if successful Ebola results validate NNVC's platform then unsuccessful Ebola results will cast very serious doubts on it. NNVC took a big gamble with Ebolacide.
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