Sorry, market timers: Take it from Peter Lynch, who said, “If you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you’ve wasted 10 minutes.” Or fellow investing great Ralph Wanger: “If you believe you or anyone else has a system that can predict the future of the stock market, the joke is on you.” Or the godfather of value investing, Benjamin Graham: “It is absurd to think that the general public can ever make money out of market forecasts.”
Keep a journal (or spreadsheet) of your stock picks, complete with your rationale for each move. Then look back on it to see if you were right. We may think we’re good dressers, but all it takes is a high-school yearbook to prove otherwise.