Remote Dynamics Inc (RMTD): $RMTD Volume Look & Kelly Formula...

xero90 · 2014-10-24T10:44:56.4230000Z

$RMTD Volume Look & Kelly Formula images.investorshub.advfn.com/images/uploads/2014/2/8/xbuig4wgXLuy.gif $RMTD Weekly Log scale Volume images.investorshub.advfn.com/images/uploads/2014/10/24/ldwhkRmtdWeeklyLogVolume.png Kelly Criterion Kelly Criterion for those gambling types out there: Say 20% : Merger happens with 30k% gains : 0.03 Say 80% : Nothing happens with total loss : zero, nada [pre] The Expected Value = (% x PPS) + (% x PPS) : 0.0060 The Edge = EV - current : 0.0059 Odds = price gained if merger happens : 0.0299 Kelly Edge/Odds = 19.7% The 1/2 Kelly = 9.9%[/pre] Anywhere from 10% to 20% of bankroll should be used now. RMTD Theme [yt]AFa1-kciCb4[/yt] $RMTD Rocket is fueling images.investorshub.advfn.com/images/uploads/2014/6/21/zlcxfrocket-launch-o.gif [yt]J0BrdMi-oyc[/yt]

Remote Dynamics Inc (RMTD)

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xero90

Re: vaporman post# 28050

Friday, 10/24/2014 6:44:56 AM

Friday, October 24, 2014 6:44:56 AM

$RMTD Volume Look & Kelly Formula

$RMTD Weekly Log scale Volume

Kelly Criterion
Kelly Criterion for those gambling types out there:

Say 20% : Merger happens with 30k% gains : 0.03
Say 80% : Nothing happens with total loss : zero, nada

 
 The Expected Value = (% x PPS) + (% x PPS) : 0.0060 
 The Edge = EV - current : 0.0059 
 Odds = price gained if merger happens : 0.0299 
 Kelly Edge/Odds = 19.7% 
 The 1/2 Kelly = 9.9%

Anywhere from 10% to 20% of bankroll should be used now.

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