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Thursday, 10/02/2014 8:10:50 AM

Thursday, October 02, 2014 8:10:50 AM

Post# of 535
Insiders Now Seeing Red With KTOS At New 52-Week Low

By BNK Invest, October 01, 2014, 01:15:39 PM EDT AAA

In trading on Wednesday, shares of Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Symbol: KTOS) touched a new 52-week low of $6.18/share. That's a $3.00 share price drop, or -32.68% decline from the 52-week high of $9.18 set back on 02/03/2014. Large percentage drops always require that the stock post even larger percentage gains from the low in order to recover the old price point, and for KTOS that means the stock would have to gain 48.54% to get back to the 52-week high. For a move like that, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. would need fundamental strength at the business level.

Here's a rhetorical question: Who knows more about fundamentals at the business level than the company's own insiders? So let's take a look to see whether any company insiders were taking the other side of the trade as KTOS shares were being sold down to this new 52-week low, focusing on the most recent trailing six month period. As summarized by the table below, KTOS has seen 3 different instances of insiders buying over the past six months.


Purchased Insider Title Shares Price/Share Value
05/05/2014 Deanna H. Lund EVP & CFO 2,000 $7.26 $14,520.00
05/05/2014 Eric M. Demarco President & CEO 10,000 $7.29 $72,906.00
05/20/2014 William A. Hoglund Director 200,00 $7.24 $1,447,426.04

In the short run, while the new 52-week low suggests the stock is at the cheapest price and perhaps therefore the best bargain it has been over the last 52 weeks, the low print also means anyone who has purchased the stock over that timeframe is staring at an unrealized loss. Oftentimes, that factor drives a stock's technical analysis metrics by creating overhead resistance, with investors who bought higher now anxious to reverse their trade once they are back to breakeven. The chart below shows where KTOS has traded over the past year, with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages included.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Moving Averages Chart (click link for chart)

Time will tell whether the insider purchases foretell a future rebound for KTOS shares, which are presently showing a last trade of $6.33/share, slightly above the new 52-week

Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/article/insiders-now-seeing-red-with-ktos-at-new-52-week-low-cm397224#ixzz3EzMBTOka
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KTOS
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