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Re: rotor1 post# 18995

Friday, 09/19/2014 2:34:30 PM

Friday, September 19, 2014 2:34:30 PM

Post# of 37923
Geo-Economic: USD

Fed is taking the advantage of Dollar’s Hegemony (note 1) so that they can print out of thin air.

In order to maintain Dollar’s Hegemony that requires:
(1) economic supremacy to provide liquid market transactions
(2) military supremacy as a backup

And/or,
To ‘mess’ around our neighbors (note 2) so that USD is the ‘best” among the ‘inferiors’. In this tactic, “We” cannot afford if our neighbors ‘unite’ together. Thus what this Geo-economic cartoon implies.



Therefore, The recent Geopolitics unset triggers a 'whopping' 5% appreciation in USD

However, as such preemptive “tactic“ cannot prevent from losing the trade/technology dominance in the worldwide market, and it cannot enforce those ‘non-obedient’ players such as China, Russia, Iran, Brazil, Venezuela .. etc .. to follow “our script”. In the long run, not every developed Europe nations want to be one of the “vassals” of “Us” ..............

Then?

(1) “.... It touches on one of the fundamental factors that is validating the technical and cyclical case ... ...… The events in Russia & the Ukraine are poised to hurt Europe first … and then the Dollar to collapse after that!

full text & chart will be available via this link: http://www.insiidetrack.com/40-Year%20Cycle.html

(2) European Flight Capital to Accelerate. What to Do …

Larry Edelson | Wednesday, September 10, 2014 at 7:30 am
http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/european-flight-capital-accelerate-65364#.VBG9VJRdXTo

The U.S. dollar, despite all its problems, will continue to appreciate, ultimately ushering in severe stagflation, or worse, deflation in this country.

Conclusion:

"The world is changing rapidly. We are witnessing colossal geopolitical, technological and structural shifts. A single-polar world model has failed. Today, it's obvious to everyone, even to those who continue using their habitual coordinate system, trying to maintain monopoly, dictate their rules of the game in politics, trade and finances and impose cultural and behavioral standards," (Note 3)

Eventually, an across Asia-Europe Continent Trade De Facto Alliance include Scandinavians, Baltic, France, Germany, Balkans , Mediterranean , North Africa, Eurasian, central Asia, Iran, Russia, South Asia (ASEAN), India, China .. etc all link together by interconnected train routes to form a largest market in the human history.(Note 5) US remains an ocean power in North America (Note 4,6)

Disclaimer:

Oliver Stone: “All these things can change, so we don’t know. And when you think an empire is going to control everything and is going to go a certain way that’s exactly the moment when it doesn’t go that way. ..... it might be the curve of that ball that no one foresaw. You know? Stay open. Things don’t always turn out the way you think they’re going to turn out.
( http://collider.com/oliver-stone-untold-history-of-the-united-states-jfk-interview/#wOB30XsfgOa4EWsX.99 )


Note 1

Dollar hegemony
(a) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dollar_hegemony
The term describes a geopolitical phenomenon of the 20th century in which the U.S. dollar, a fiat currency, became the primary reserve currency internationally.

(b) Dollar Hegemony
By Henry C K Liu http://henryckliu.com/page2.html
Originally published as [US Dollar Hegemony has to go] in AToL on April 11. 2002

Note 2
Chess in a Minefield: The Global Implications of the Ukraine Conflict
By Uwe Klußmann
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/the-geopolitical-implications-of-conflict-in-ukraine-a-954724.html

Brzezinski would love to have put Moscow in checkmate. In his book "The Grand Chessboard," he writes that without Ukraine, Russia "would become predominantly an Asian imperial state" at risk of being drawn into conflicts in Central Asia. But if Moscow were able to gain control of Ukraine and its resources, Brzezinski wrote, the Russian Federation would be a "powerful imperial state." He saw danger in a potential "German-Russian collusion" and in the possibility of an agreement between Europe and Russia with the goal of pushing America out of the region.

Essentially, Brzezinski's point of view is one that guides American strategy to this day: The US wants to keep Russia as far away as possible. If the Europeans get involved in Ukraine and harm their relations with Moscow, that is fine with Washington.

Indeed, US Deputy Foreign Minister Victoria Nuland's infamous "Fxxk the EU" gaffe, can hardly be seen as a mistake. Rather it is a logical, if somewhat vulgar, expression of America's geopolitical stance.


Note 3
Failure of single-polar world order obvious to everyone
Vladimir Putin - 23 May 2014, 16:06
International Economic Forum in St. Petersburg.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/russia/2014/russia-140523-vor01.htm

Note 4
One Man's View of the World
by Lee Kuan Yew, Singapore's former Prime Minister
http://www.amazon.com/One-Mans-View-World-Kuan/dp/9814342564/ref=sr_1_5/175-9434109-9847720?ie=UTF8&qid=1409086762&sr=8-5&keywords=Lee+Kuan+Yew
He describes an America that will have to share its pre-eminence despite its never-say-die dynamism

Note 5
Trans-Asian Railway http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Asian_Railway
The Trans-Asian Railway (TAR) is a project to create an integrated freight railway network across Europe and Asia. The TAR is a project of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP).

Eurasian Land Bridge
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasian_Land_Bridge

China’s Land Bridge to Europe – The China-Turkey High Speed Railway
https://solari.com/blog/china%E2%80%99s-land-bridge-to-europe-the-china-turkey-high-speed-railway/

Note 6
Book Review: 'World Order' by Henry Kissinger
The idea that history is tragic does not come naturally to Americans.
By JAMES TRAUB
Sept. 5, 2014 5:32 p.m. ET
http://online.wsj.com/articles/book-review-world-order-by-henry-kissinger-1409952751

Recent years have not been kind to those who believe in America's missionary role abroad.

The story begins with France's Cardinal Richelieu (1585-1642), who articulated a doctrine that "the state was an abstract and permanent entity existing in its own right," holding interests peculiar to itself—raison d'état. When the religious wars of the mid-17th century exhausted all parties, the diplomats who gathered in the northwest German province of Westphalia in the mid-1640s agreed that they would not seek to impose their own religious principles upon one another. States would no longer interfere with the domestic order of other states. "The Westphalian concept took multiplicity as its starting point," Mr. Kissinger writes, and thus incorporated "multiple societies" into "a common search for order."

Westphalia may well be an antiquated metaphor for world order at a time when America is menaced not only by classically aggrandizing states like Russia but also by nonstate actors like al Qaeda and ISIS. Nevertheless, given the terrible intractability of world affairs, the precept of diplomacy as a permanent endeavor for contingent aims feels almost inspiring. Secretary of State John Kerry, barely staving off exhaustion as he sprints from crisis to crisis in pursuit of what look like unattainable goals, could scarcely find a worthier motto.

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