Cameron faces Ukip by-election bloodbath: Party set to win first Commons seat after shock poll reveals Farage's staggering 44-point lead over the Tories
Ukip set to win first Commons seat with a landslide 64 per cent of the vote
Douglas Carswell is set to win Clacton by-election sparked by his defection
Figures predict a record 48 point swing towards Ukip, humiliating the Tories
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