Friday, August 29, 2014 9:37:58 PM
For small biopharmaceutical companies, the constant "market cap/revenue" should be a multiple of roughly 30. We also properly accounted the 35 percent of the 35/65 profit-splits with Sanofi. Additionally, we discounted 30 percent of revenues for the exclusion of patients with COPD plus those who smoke.
$3 billion x 30 market cap/revenue = $90 billion market cap
$90 billion market cap ÷ 402 million shares outstanding = $223 per share
35 percent x $223 per share = $78 per share (properly accounted for the 35 percent of the 35/65 profit split)
30 percent x $78 = $23 (discounted for COPD and tobacco abuse)
$77 - $23 = $54 per share of MannKind
The $54 share price is conservative given that the appraisal did not take into account the MannKind's proprietary Technosphere novel drug delivery platform as well as the potential for Afrezza to expand the mealtime insulin market (due to the drug's high efficacy in curbing the progression of insulin resistance) plus Afrezza's ability to capture the larger prediabetes market.
Furthermore, we believe that comparative market analysis works best for developmental and early stage biopharmaceuticals rather than employing "COGS, P/E, DCF, and etcetera," as MannKind has yet to generate any sales; therefore, it would not be best to employ the traditional valuation methods at this point. Needless to say, it will be more appropriate to appraise MannKind using traditional methods in either mid to late 2015, when we have more data regarding Afrezza's ability to deliver blockbuster sales.
https://www.retailinvestor360.com/biotech/595-mannkind-corporation-jefferies-votes-confidence-in-afrezza-and-vincata-raises-mannkind-s-po-to-54.html
Talent is God-given; be humble.. Fame is man-given; be thankful.. Conceit is self-given; be careful. - John Wooden
Recent MNKD News
- MannKind Announces Clearance from PMDA to Initiate Phase 3 Clinical Trial (ICoN-1) in Japan Evaluating Clofazimine Inhalation Suspension for the Treatment of Nontuberculous Mycobacterial (NTM) Lung Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/18/2024 10:15:00 AM
- MannKind to Present at 2024 Cantor Fitzgerald Global Healthcare Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/10/2024 08:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/05/2024 01:11:49 AM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/03/2024 08:25:31 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/30/2024 08:35:07 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/30/2024 01:00:08 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/30/2024 01:00:06 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/30/2024 01:00:05 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/30/2024 01:00:03 AM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/29/2024 09:23:28 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/29/2024 08:15:52 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/29/2024 08:15:28 PM
- MannKind to Present at Upcoming Conferences • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/27/2024 08:30:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/14/2024 12:03:59 PM
- Kent Kresa to Retire from MannKind’s Board of Directors; Steven B. Binder to be Appointed to the Board • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/14/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/07/2024 12:05:43 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/07/2024 12:05:34 PM
- MannKind Corporation Reports 2024 Second Quarter Financial Results: Provides Clinical Development Update • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/07/2024 12:00:00 PM
- US Index Futures Rise Amid Earnings Season Optimism, Oil Prices Rebound • IH Market News • 08/07/2024 09:49:12 AM
- MannKind Launches Educational Website to Raise Awareness of NTM Lung Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/31/2024 10:30:00 AM
- MannKind Corporation to Hold 2024 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call on August 7, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/30/2024 08:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/17/2024 11:50:35 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/17/2024 11:50:18 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/17/2024 11:50:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/17/2024 11:49:45 PM
VHAI - Vocodia Partners with Leading Political Super PACs to Revolutionize Fundraising Efforts • VHAI • Sep 19, 2024 11:48 AM
Dear Cashmere Group Holding Co. AKA Swifty Global Signs Binding Letter of Intent to be Acquired by Signing Day Sports • DRCR • Sep 19, 2024 10:26 AM
HealthLynked Launches Virtual Urgent Care Through Partnership with Lyric Health. • HLYK • Sep 19, 2024 8:00 AM
Element79 Gold Corp. Appoints Kevin Arias as Advisor to the Board of Directors, Strengthening Strategic Leadership • ELMGF • Sep 18, 2024 10:29 AM
Mawson Finland Limited Further Expands the Known Mineralized Zones at Rajapalot: Palokas step-out drills 7 metres @ 9.1 g/t gold & 706 ppm cobalt • MFL • Sep 17, 2024 9:02 AM
PickleJar Announces Integration With OptCulture to Deliver Holistic Fan Experiences at Venue Point of Sale • PKLE • Sep 17, 2024 8:00 AM