Hi Gang,
I've identified 3 ETF's with a 52 week high/low over 2 to 1 and wondered what the rest of you think of them. They are TQQQ, SMIN, and USD.
On another subject, it seems to me that AIM needs to "settle" in for a couple of years, or so, before it hits its stride in profits. Is this an artifact of the bull market or is this a known behavior?
On still another subject, as I understand it AIM has two primary, key potential problems:
1) Running out of cash in a down market by buying too soon.
2) Amassing too much cash in an up market by selling too soon.
I've modified the AIMBARES.XLS to automate back testing and added the Buy/Sell/Hold zone calculator that is on Archive.org as well as a % profit calculation and commission costs. In working with it I am seeing the strong interaction between % profit, % cash, buy/sell safe and % of stocks/$ for a minimum trade.
By automating it I can see the % profit change as I play with the variables. Oddly enough it sees a lower than 10% buy safe combined a higher than 10% sell safe seems to work best in the bull market over the last 5 years. Though I haven't tested, except by hand, the period of 2007/2012, and on that only two items suggested by Tom. (How do I convey to you, Tom, what I got to see if I did the paper and pencil correctly?)
Each stock/EFT seems to require its own cash % to avoid running out of cash, but then this is a "bull" market so I can see that it would require more cash in a down market but from what I see the amount is relative to the particular stock/EFT, not other factors that I can identify. Does this make sense?
Well, enough for now.
Allen
