Make that November. That would be a 150 basis point jump by Thanksgiving. https://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^TNX Why the 10-year Treasury could yield 4% by Thanksgiving Insight: Bond bullishness at near-record levels is a warning sign http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-10-year-treasury-could-yield-4-by-thanksgiving-2014-07-29