Thursday, July 31, 2014 11:50:32 PM
Of all the infectious diseases that kill people or cause human misery, Ebola is pretty low on the list. HIV kills 1.5M per year! Hepatitis 1.4M per year!
http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/health-news/as-ebola-mers-and-hivaids-make-headlines-what-are-the-biggest-risks-to-the-worlds-health-and-what-is-being-done-about-them-9631572.html
Gauging threats is difficult to do, and indeed does depend on where you sit and what is your situation. We always seem to fear the new and unknown. Ebola has been around for a while, and occasionally flares up (like this year), but not too bad. I personally feel for the victims, especially the health care workers hurt trying to take care of others, but don't think it has catastrophic epidemic disease potential. Why do you think "what is coming is not the same as what has been?" What is different with this outbreak?
Speaking of global catastrophes, I read an interesting book about them, Vaclav Smil's Global Catastrophes and Trends, the next 50 years:
http://www.amazon.com/Global-Catastrophes-Trends-Fifty-Years/dp/0262195860
One of my colleagues used to say "We're due for another epidemic." In order to spread quickly, it most likely will be airborne. I don't think Ebola will affect that many people.
This blogger says what I was trying to say much better than I:
http://decipherthescience.blogspot.com/2012/08/ebola-pandemic-virus-fail.html
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