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Re: Schweinemeister post# 20038

Saturday, 07/19/2014 8:56:15 AM

Saturday, July 19, 2014 8:56:15 AM

Post# of 29204
Notice at close today CPST had a single institutional trade of 99K+ shrs

These "closing blocks" are very common and I've not yet tried to correlate them with follow-on behavior.

{ So that could be a sign your hedges are looking to cover some here...we'll know on Monday whether we can move up and make the 1.36 the support }

99K is relatively small though, in relation what we would look for as some real pressure. I think that's around some kind of "average" size, although I've not run any stats on it.

Here's this month's stuff, which I don't normally tabulate like this.

----- Open ------ ----- Close ------
type size Price type size price
SELL 36372 $1.50 SELL 230976 $1.51
SELL 22029 $1.51 SELL 63019 $1.51
SELL 24989 $1.51 BUY 109260 $1.52
BUY 41803 $1.50 SELL 80021 $1.52
SELL 25157 $1.52 SELL 124141 $1.49
SELL 42757 $1.50 BUY 44451 $1.50
SELL 107123 $1.47 SELL 99843 $1.42
SELL 82300 $1.41 SELL 101476 $1.41
SELL 22336 $1.44 SELL 47030 $1.41
UNKN 19550 $1.42 BUY 24919 $1.41
SELL 62600 $1.40 BUY 62501 $1.38
SELL 42098 $1.38 BUY 111962 $1.30
SELL 146305 $1.29 BUY 99184 $1.36

I was looking at volume on today's up move and decided it's not too shabby - 10-day average is ~2.956MM through Thursday and we got ~2.27MM Friday on this rebound. Not big enough to say "off to the races" but not small enough to say "no strength in the move" either. 'Course Friday's behavior is often odd anyway.

As to being hedgers or institutional activities, I don't know. I've read that day traders, and others, use "at the close" order types for buys and sells. I've read that the high normal volatility and volume in the last two minutes is a common effect of these orders, which start getting executed in the last minute or two IIRC. I'm suspecting that these closing blocks are usually somehow related to these activities. E.g. I suspect a market-maker or the exchange absorbs these orders and then does some kind of "bookkeeping" or transfer related to them. Don't know and likely never will, but that's my suspicion.

Bill

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