04/10/14 summary
>> 04/04
>> zone 1 - (1845.71-1816.12), gauge for zone 2 1785.29
>> zone 2 - (1788.24-1746.83)
>>
>> 04/07
>> IF all indices can hold their monthly supports:
>> (DJI 16200-16240, SPX 1826-1836) respectively
>> for the next 3 trading days (04/07-04/09)
>> it might still have chance for the DJI & SPX rally
>> to new highs 16,810 +/-, 1903 +/- in early-May
The testing on monthly supports was one day late.
imho, DJI is clear, for SPX, there is no perfect signal
for making a black & white judgment.
Here is a summary for bearish scenario:
(1) DJI retested the prior high (12/31) on 04/04 but failed to
close above it says the prior high is solid.
When it closes below March low 16046.99 that
suggests more drops to follow.
(2) NDX peaked on 03/06 @ 3738.32
(3) An intermediate & intervening low next week would
initiate a lower high in early-May,
after that, more serious drop could take place.
>> 03/19
>> The projected peak in May (05/12 +/-) is very important
>> for the long term consequence, the judgment will base on
>> if it is a lower high (<= 1903.59) or new high. (>=1944.65)
(4) A tentative intermediate low projection based on latest data
for S&P is 1812.74-1789.90
will discuss the possibility for zone 2
zone 2 - (1788.24-1746.83)