SPDR S&P 500 (SPY): One reservation about divergance. Most o...

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Re: steveftw post# 44558

Sunday, 03/16/2008 3:07:50 PM

Sunday, March 16, 2008 3:07:50 PM

One reservation about divergance. Most oscillators have a fixed time frame that is a 'best general fit' to market movements.

However, when you get in situations where the movement of the item being charted is substantially longer or shorter than the fixed time frame of the indicator, the indicator will show divergence.

The indicator divergence may not be as meaningful if its trying to argue with a longer than normal move or a greater than normal downswing, like lately.

Not every meaningful index movement will match itself to the fixed oscillator time frame. Thus the divergence shown may be mathematical, more than anything.

You CAN time the market!

But only after you trash the big 3 myths.

Myth 1 - its possible to get every point of every move
...Myth 2 - you'll never have a drawdown
......Myth 3 - you'll never have a loss

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