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If you position after the bell with garbage .2% bar coding...everyone is hamburder...while time bleeds em all.
Need bigger moves for options prices to move.
Everyone placing bets at the bell just gettin churned.
Still to meaningless targets.
Odds gambling is not your thing.
Don't matter.
If you aren't catching the big move, your liquidity at the bell.
Spy moving a buck barely moves the needle on options...nevermind the time erosion.
Those aren't shorts or longs. The selling is profit taking or repositioning. Most still hamburder.
Your first picture has a premarket stamp.
You can't trade options premarket.
Then you told people to take profits at 417.85 before it closed at 420.50.
Missed the whole move,
No boom
People that went against your advice bought calls and held all day made money.
I don't have a clue?
You don't even know where the money is coming from you are winning?
You think that is the banks money? The boys money? You outfoxed em?
Na...it's other peoples money. And most will lose almost all the time.
It's fact. Not open for discussion. 92% will lose in the end with 100% certainty. The boys are counting on it so lay down them bets.
I will concede you live in the 8% to call it a stalemate.
Oh I know.
What you can't seem to wrap your head around is the reason most professional traders can't be SPY is because it is the most efficient pricing mechanism on the planet for maximizing moves in the market.
To beat SPY you have to be more efficient than SPY itself. Almost no one on the planet had accomplished this.
Buy or don't...but you aren't beating it at it's own game.
Who would pay money for something with a 92% failure rate?
I did get a nice spot in TZA though.
Remember 2 weeks ago?
I am not citing my statistics.
Just the ones that have been around longer than you have been alive.
We know you know.
Boom on 20 cents. You can't be serious.
Or in other words.
92% of options junkies are lying to themselves and you.
Buy SPY or don't...or trade shares.
Don't act like a revenue stream can be derived from daily options gambling.
That is Citadel's revenue stream...and they are setting records.
They know they have a 92% chance of winning...as sure as the sun sets.
Is it possible you find a glitch in the matrix...sure.
Do we all know the longer you play the game there is like a 92% chance you did not?
Of course we do.
And your 10% net gains assumes you are right 60% of the time.
50% is break even.
There were many before you who've been crushed by the math.
Market makers thrive on the basic odds hugely stacked in their favor.
They don't need to control anything. The math just works every time.
Still just hamburder
If only your realized at 11% gains this year you are just matching the market.
Cuz ya gotta make some more loot to cover the taxes.
If you earn 10% you are losing 30% of that to the man. Or total 3% of your 10% = 7% net.
So you gotta match market gains PLUS 3%...just to break even with the market.
Mathtastic
As someone pointed out. S&P is up 8% this year if you bought at the perfect time.
So even your 10% minus commissions and taxes isn't beating the market.
Math class 101
Not even worth the commission. Nevermind the short term gains tax.
Better response than most "boys" gibberish.
I just don't want to hold stock to sell options against. Nothing is safe out there anymore.
All but 7 stocks moving so wildly. Get stuck holding 1000 shares of something that drops 10% overnight, not worth the reward of options to me.
The inverse of inflation is deflation. Deflation is bad for assets.
The end of inflation is bad for the market. Hence the awful performance since the great news.
The real takeaway. This is the market for quite some time. Years of inflation battling ahead.
Trading is over. Accumulate assets or don't, but market is toast for liquidity for trading.
CPI still 250% above target and dropping at a snails pace. There is no more low hanging fruit. More drastic asset deflation needed.
I take that as you not knowing why an obvious game of between the numbers is not profitable for options.
I see you prefer the school of hard knocks.
Everything you do is void of math. Like your historical probability of winning your game is less than 10%.
Do you want to start with math class?
Lesson 1: Not wasting money gambling when the market goes down is beating the market.
Beating the market since 5/2021. You?
I can't compete with a guy shaving points on .20 daily SPY moves.
No one can. Especially with something as complex as where large volume orders are located that are outside the daily options range.
Riddle me this. If they are there to keep the price action exactly within a range, why would that be?
Would you be exploiting their game...or playing it if you play within the numbers?
#Hamburder
That's just a reflection of what already happened.
Doesn't tell you what the value of lumber will be next year. Just where it's already been.
What do you think a decrease in inflation is and how does it happen?
Hint it is not the cost of raw materials going up.
Also, you are showing me now what I said would happen almost 2 years ago.
Could you time it perfect...I don't know. Could you know not to invest in it as inflation ran rampant? Certainly.
There is still so much excess to wring out before inflation cycle can even start again.
When will it happen...I don't know. Will it happen...it's that or 5% pay raises the new norm request. ie inflation wage spiral.
None of those answers are in the lines. There is no chart to show you what people will be willing to pay for something. There is historical mean appreciation that is manageable....then there is what has happened. That does tell you what people will pay for something...and 30% increase in housing is not sustainable.
When does it revert to the norm? dunno.
For the lumber record. Shorts have been right since January 2022.
Puts are not shorts. Shorts are SELLERS...Put holders BUY things.
Put holders are paid by the call buyers losses and vice versa. This is how premiums are set. Imbalance between the two sides is offset by premium cost.
There are no boys. There are machines skimming dollars off every transaction. They do not care what the value of your option is...and they never want it.
There is AI having conversations with people right now, yet you think you are outfoxing the same technology with a ruler.
You were hamburg from enter. The fact you think you are competing against an imaginary enemy is enough reason for people not to listen.
Yep.
They guessed right.
Horse, Oranges, Chimney...no one knows what you are saying.
You miss the move after hours everyday, then get churned and burned all day.
Shorts did not get cleaned.
Put BUYERS are not short anything. Shorts are SELLERS.
1$ or 2$ gyrations doesn't clean out anyone but options gamblers.
Options prices don't move enough in those gyrations to survive time decay.
Hamburder to feed Skynet.
You are never making the "easy" play. You are taking the suckers bet every day. Day in...day out.
You're paying short terms gains and commissions constantly. You aren't beating the market return. Forget about the fact your wash trading is destroying your ability to capture losses. You are probably paying taxes on money you didn't even win, when you account for the losses you can't claim.
You are losing money from the moment you hit enter.
Whoops
No. Corrupt wallstreet's plan is to extract liquidity constantly.
Market gyrations to each side are a result of the options gamblers.
Premiums adjust to even the odds accordingly.
Banks are not moving Billions if not Trillions of dollars in actual stock to spoof retail out of their hundreds.
Retail is spoofing themselves. Banks sit back and collect the fees.
10% is the average annualized return on the market without doing anything at all.
No short term gains tax...no commish.
Losing to the market.
SPY absolutely zippo follow through or volume after the junkies got done placing their bets this morning.
Now everyone bleeding all day.
Rinse repeat...some one wake me.
Fundamentals always mattered to money. It's why nothing is moving anywhere. SPY a bad bet at these pricey levels. Options traders just getting churned all year.
Dow flat for 5 months. LOL
Think it's coincidence that the big money moves happen when the options market is closed.
For like years now?
Options just hamburder.
"The boys" just buy shares to sell you options... then when your options bleeds dry...they sell em back.
Nice double up for the MM's
For options.
All indexes up 1.5%. That's a bigly matters.
Gamblers small money hamburg.
Someone else unloading for bigly profits.
If you "trade" an option.
You never owned anything but a gamble against time. You bet on what someone else owns.
There is no one that has to "steal" anything from you. They already own it. You own nothing.
Just look at Target Timmy with the "before market opens" call. Unfortunately neither is the options market. What a waste of energy. Everyone knows the up and down.
An option is not targeting a price point. It is targeting the "When". The strike price just determines the amount of leverage.
Call it gambling then we can all agree it is what it is...but don't call it trading.
Everyone crying foul playing a game designed specifically to slowly bleed you over time.
Stop being gluttons.
If there is "A BOY" he is Ken Griffin who just struck a ginormous real estate deal in NY.
So pretty obvious who's winning.
He probably isn't using high tech stuff like a ruler or "targets" though.
None of the options experts here get it.
For all of you to buy one option someone else has to buy or be holding a 100 shares.
100,000 options = 10 million shares at stake.
You guys are the genesis of what you loathe. The market is no longer rational because irrational gamblers are the only ones trading. The market makers aren't stealing anything.
You are playing against all the other gamblers. Market makers just sit back and collect premium.
You ARE "the boys".
Premiums just keep shifting like odds as gamblers bail or place bets. No one wants your option....EVER. Like 7% of options exercise.
They want your premium...which you are ALWAYS paying as soon as the clock starts ticking.
No one will EVER beat the machines and clock gambling on daily options...EVER EVER.
There is a chance you can jump out of a plane and live.
A highly unlikely one, but possible.
No one is saying it can't happen once in a while, but don't try to convince people there is a science to jumping out of a plane.
We know most aren't coming back.
You aren't holding a portfolio where one increase is making up for another decrease.
You are placing an individual bet and trying to time the market one time...in one direction.
Need 60% statistically to win long term.
You are good. Showing those algos who's boss.
Just because the price moves 10 cents doesn't mean the price of an option does.
50 cent move in 10 mins...come on man. You would have to hover around your keyboard with your finger on the mouse...and still time it exactly perfect.
Do you know probability and statistics?
Statistically there is a very low probability to your method. Which needs a 60% success rate. 50% is break even.
I've never heard of anyone with a 60% success rate.
Impressive 10 min spike.
The shnozberries taste like shnozberries.
Move all assets to bonds.
At the end of the day it is the only thing they have to save.
No one will miss billion dollar tech. start-ups that employee 10 people.
No rebound in bonds is real world pain for everyone.
You think banks are the only ones with bond losses? Wait until pension funds start falling short of withdrawals.
Black swan happened already. Banks underwater up to their eyeballs on bonds and MSB.
They don't have any money. The emergency nonsense was just more loans.
Their deposits are of zero value because they are all collateral.
"The boys" can't afford to play in this pricey market.
P.S. The only way banks can recoup losses on bonds, is a massive jump in bond prices. Any idea what that does to stocks?
Crushing bloated asset prices and recouping paper losses in bonds is a double positive.
Tanking bonds and buying bloated tech. garbage won't help anyone.
What do you think "the boys" want more? Beat out mom and pops for a couple sheckles...or recoup the Billions of dollars in unrealized losses on bonds?
Only way out for banks is an historic run on bonds.
The highest option money is all on the VIX for 4 different options.
This is not a premium circle jerk.
There is no premium to be had. Actual bulls nowhere in sight.