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And it seems to me that a disproportionate amount of the violence occurs in the wee hours of the morning.
So don't go there, but especially not at 2-3 am.
LOL, I remember being a young buck with a little chip on my shoulder and starting to spread my wings. We chose Florida for all the reasons that it was advertised for back in the 90's. Orlando seemed like a good place because it was centrally located and what kid growing up didn't want to see Disney when trips like that were completely out of the cards for my family?
It took a couple trips for me to get over the Mickey vibe and that's when I would go back to the condo and start thumbing through all the local news while getting to know the locals. To my surprise, their local news was not unike ours. Lots of crime, shootings and drug busts all happening within miles from the Magic Kingdom every day. Back then I just thought it was comical that everything they would fear us for was happening on a regular basis there too.
Don't even get me started on politics. As I grew older and started trying to bud out with a little Florida arm to my real estate hobby, it was brutal. The double dealing and the kickbacks involved while even trying to get your foot in the door was sickening. They made our old "machine" politicians look like choirboys by comparison. There was no wheel in that "good ol' boy" network that didn't demand a little grease. It was more on par with Giancana's crew than Daley's lol and I worked for both in my day. I aborted my dreams of contracting in Florida real quick and made sure to mind my own business after that.
It's even worse down there today and I've been from end to end of that state while they still have the gall to bring up this magnificent city like it's some sort of poster child for crime and corruption. The shiny object they point to when trying to deflect the light off themselves.
I could go on but I've done work in a lot of other places that give the same attitude. We all have the same issues but somehow I'm vilified because of where I live and work.
It's the same rule everywhere. If you don't want to experience violence, do not go looking for it. Don't try to buy or sell heroin, crack or meth on a dark street corner in a neighborhood you know nothing about and you should be just fine. There's over 5 million people in Cook County and on peak days can attract up to 2 million more visitors so there's going to be some shitheads out there, it's just a law of averages.
Funny part is per-capita we rank better than the places that use us as a poster child.
I'm not ashamed to admit where I live. Our little town of 20k people do just fine a few miles from the city limits. 😎
Our lack of white supremacists might be a bug to some but I consider it a glowing feature.
Four reasons why it is MORE likely that Harris voters will be underestimated in this election
Trump maxxed out his support from 'hidden voters' in 2020, surpassing 2016, but I don't believe there's any way he can pull that trick one more time, especially with the way everything has been going for him. He's shedding support rather than adding it.
Instead, I think the polls are under-counting Harris supporters this time, while pollsters have tried to adjust to account for those 'hidden Trump voters' of 2016 and 2020 by inflating the presumed 'Trump vote'. I believe the pollsters will dramatically underestimate support for the Democratic ticket.
Reasons:
#1 Democrats had little in-person ground game in 2020 because of COVID, while the Republicans DID work door-to-door-- and I believe that factor alone accounted for much of Biden's under-performance vs. his polling. THIS year, it's the OPPOSITE-- Democrats have the ground game, while the GOP is relying on outside groups to do their canvassing for them--- people whom leading Republicans are now fretting about, because they have little evidence that the job is being done.
#2 DOBBS DOBBS DOBBS!!! Women aren't forgetting it, and Kamala Harris is doing everything she can to remind them about it. Democrats have been over-performing their polls in elections ever since, because women outnumber men, they are pissed, and they are VOTING for Democrats!!! Special elections, which have been shown to be predictive of later presidential election results, have all been going in our party's favor, with our candidates out-performing their polls by an average of four percent, and sometimes as much as eight percent! (THERE's your "hidden voters"!)
#3 New voter registration among young people and young women has been spiking in excitement over the Harris candidacy, and we now have the "voter enthusiasm" advantage over the Trump voters. This is big. I'll throw Taylor Swift into this mix.
#4 The endless stream of Republicans endorsing the Harris-Walz ticket and speaking out against Trump grows bigger by the day-- and is giving disgruntled Republicans "cover" to vote against Trump. We didn't have that in 2020 except for a small handful, but now it is a river demonstrating how Trump is losing support from members of his own party.
My conclusion:
There isn't going to BE any "overstatement" of Harris support by pollsters prior to this election, and I believe I have just shown FOUR BIG REASONS why it is more likely to be support for Harris which will be underestimated in this election.
It will all come down to GOTV in the end, of course,
but in 2024, we are NOT
"sailing against the wind" !!!!
All the wind is at our back!
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219493419
Bruce Zuchowski, a Trump-supporting Republican, likened migrants to “human locusts” and called the vice president a “Flip-Flopping, Laughing Hyena.”
Sean Craig
Updated Sep. 23, 2024 9:35AM EDT
Portage County Sheriff Bruce Zuchowski poses at his desk.
The sheriff’s department in Portage County, Ohio has been stripped of its election security duties after its MAGA sheriff said people displaying Kamala Harris signs in their yards should have their addresses recorded so illegal immigrants can be sent to their homes.
Portage County Sheriff Bruce Zuchowski, a Donald Trump-supporting Republican seeking re-election, likened migrants to “human locusts” and called Harris a “Flip-Flopping, Laughing Hyena” on his personal and campaign Facebook accounts earlier this month.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/maga-sheriffs-post-about-kamala-harris-yard-signs-gets-department-booted-from-election-duties?ref=home?ref=home
For sure 'constructive' is the key; too often place of origin is a default to assumptions and prejudice (like my example)..
Go Hawks Go ;).
C'mon, an 'unnecessary nuisance'? Everyone who posts has both good and bad aspects about where they live to either defend or constructively criticize. Chicago has its problems, but no one takes on myself or newmedman on that subject without wishing they hadn't. 😏
Also, guilt by association (in this case where one is located) can be an unnecessary nuisance.
No Sir, but that's me. I think that Bostonian accent that comes across in the posting is a give away anyhow - but yeah should be a choice imo. Also, guilt by association (in this case where one is located) can be an unnecessary nuisance. I had one poster where every time they would fail in a discussion or argument with me would default back to a prejudice about my place of birth. Totally irrelevant [especially, for me cuz not only consider myself a citizen of the world/human race but have a dislike of extreme nationalism - root of many problems imo like religion].
Ummm... "which country encouraged Ukraine to assualt the Donbas region in April 2014 and ignore the Minsk accords of Feb. 2015, which blah blah...."
- is that a typo or does Ukraine have a time machine.
Is your right the same as our present right? And the new conservative party may be more central or balanced?
Oh oh... do you have a problem with Martin Luther King Jr?
Maybe you're just drunk?
The Borowitz Report- Melania Says She is Proud of Nude Modeling But Embarrassed About Marriage
https://www.borowitzreport.com/p/melania-says-she-is-proud-of-nude
NEW YORK (The Borowitz Report)—In a new video released on Monday to promote her forthcoming book, Melania Trump revealed that she is proud of her nude modeling work but “deeply embarrassed” about her marriage.
“I’m glad that I posed for those nude photos, which are an artistic celebration of the female form,” she asserted. “Conversely, there are pictures of me with Donald Trump all over the Internet and I can't take them down."
"I ask the American people to focus on my nude modeling and try to forget about the other thing,” she added.
While admitting there was “no excuse” for having married Trump, she said, "You do things for money when you're young that you regret for the rest of your life.”
RobH1312, supply a link when you post as required for stats, etc. so we can peruse exactly what you are referring to. It's not hard to do; just copy and paste...surely you know how to to that, or is your failure to do so somehow a feature in your mind?
I'm good with that. Trump should have no problem winning NC.
GO TRUMP 2024 👍️
Out today but go ahead spin it anyway you want
In North Carolina, which has voted Republican for over a decade, Trump leads Harris by just 2 points, 47-49.
Doesn't look like 5.
NC showing Trump up only 2 must be old poll; NYT's poll was put out this morning;
But if Trump is up by 2 that's good because Hillary was up by 7 one week before election and Trump mopped the floor with her. Sorry; Fake news does not cut it here Alternative on your end !!!
Nope only one, alternative facts?
OKTOBERFEST 2024 | 6 Million Guests Join the World's GREATEST
1:03:48
New York Times poll came out this morning.
Trump is leading shittypants Harris in GA,AZ and NC by 5 points all swing states 😀
Fall movie preview: Let's spend our nights with gladiators, witches and a young Donald Trump
Tom Hanks, Hugh Grant and Lady Gaga are among the stars of our 10 most anticipated films of the season.
By Richard Roeper Sept 20, 2024, 1:00pm CDT
https://chicago.suntimes.com/movies-and-tv/2024/09/20/fall-movie-preview-lets-spend-our-nights-with-gladiators-witches-and-a-young-donald-trump
We have reached that point in September when there are fewer days between today and Thanksgiving than between now and the last Fourth of July, and let’s pause for ... just ... a ... moment ... to let that sink in.
Here at Popcorn Central Headquarters, that can mean only one thing: It’s Fall Preview time!
Our list of 10 promising titles is quite disparate, from a new film by the legendary Francis Ford Coppola to a sequel almost guaranteed to be polarizing to a couple of highly anticipated stage adaptations to the latest exercise in digital transformation. Let’s dive in.
‘Megalopolis’ (Sept. 26)
poster also turned it into a game of hide and seek, refusing to drop the subject when it was initially resolved, then continuing to dangle clues that nobody asked for.
poster should realize that nobody cares and they could have stopped the game in the beginning but has a need to feel that, "I know something that you don't", superiority. It makes them feel clever.
Posting one of those four commonwealth states, or a country, would be a no harm no foul situation. Do you consider your Canadian identity a TOS violation?
Poster mentioned they preferred not to disclose location - don't you see any connection to the TOS here on private information re posters?.
Never, as long as your brain is faster. You are disciplined, and thoughtful too. Night now.
It's not. It's tops to see you digest important messages as quickly as that cassowary could have stabbed her hand.
You are sure testing the definition of now, still,gotta get dressed to wander very soon.
Ps: Oops, the breeze through the open window almost blew the tiny pile of tobacco mix away. Ok, shut the window almost all, and moved a clump of cloth, i put over my knees while eating, in front of the pile. So safe to get dressed. Time for one more.
A pity it's a useless skill...
'night. You sure, even as age creeps around, are still friggin' fast!
LOLs, you are right, that cassowary's beak reminds me of, about three hours ago, was weeding and stabbed
my left index finger with the little garden fork in my right hand. True story, your timing is impeccable.
As to the 2nd, shucks and in 57 years of grocery shopping i've never had the pleasure of meeting one.
LOL was skeptical about a staging possibility until it showed the beauty being released to the wild.
Thanks, they were very good, as always. Nature is as amazing as Trump and his GOP mates are cruel.
Sorry can't help your early morning larking any more, am headed out -- now. Sleep easy.
Scientists looked deep beneath the Doomsday Glacier. What they found spells potential disaster for the planet
"West Antarctica Glaciers: Past the Point of No Return"
Related:
The second one. But the first is weird. Cassowaries are dangerous.
Grocery shopping in Australia pic.twitter.com/FOW3juYAMR
— Secular Chad (@SachabhartiyaRW) September 22, 2024
You gotta love Lev Parnas. How he manages to be so appealing is beyond me, but he does succeed. And his wife Svetlana is a riot.
And his company "Fraud Guarantee" was just priceless.
Who is "we" and where are these 20 million people you speak of?
I believe that's the grossly exaggerated number Trumpty likes to use. He also says he'd like to see the "mass deportation" of 20 million people or more. That would no doubt include a lot of actual US citizens, but why would he care?
Here are some actual numbers from DHS:
Breaking Down the Immigration Figures
By Lori Robertson
Posted on February 27, 2024
Encounters on the southern border of those trying to enter the U.S. without authorization have gone up significantly under President Joe Biden. Government statistics show that in the initial processing of millions of encounters, 2.5 million people have been released into the U.S. and 2.8 million have been removed or expelled.
Some Republicans, however, have misleadingly suggested the number released into the country since Biden took office is much higher...
https://www.factcheck.org/2024/02/breaking-down-the-immigration-figures/
Gotta say, Why. "Johnson previously tried to pass a spending bill with the SAVE Act attached—a Trump-endorsed bill that would ban
states from registering non-citizens as voters. Fourteen Republicans joined Democrats to defeat the bill last week." Even though the answer is clear. It's nonsense riding Trump, or Trump riding nonsense. I'm not clear which it is. Actually forget that just Trump, no doubt it's more the lot of them riding Anything to Win Lies. It's a favorite Trump horse.
Fact-checking right-wing claims about election security and noncitizens voting
Jul 17, 2024 6:45 PM EDT
Speakers at the Republican convention have repeated falsehoods that Democrats are rigging the election and that non-citizens will vote in November. That claim is just one of many conspiracy theories about the security of America’s election system that are being spread in the lead up to November. White House Correspondent Laura Barrón-López reports.
Read the Full Transcript
Notice: Transcripts are machine and human generated and lightly edited for accuracy. They may contain errors.
Geoff Bennett:
Some speakers here at the Republican National Convention have repeated the unsubstantiated claim that Democrats are rigging the presidential election, specifically about noncitizens voting.
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX):
How did we get here? It happened because Democrats cynically decided they wanted votes from illegals more than they wanted to protect our children.
(Booing)
Kari Lake (R), Arizona Senatorial Candidate: Just last week, Ruben Gallego voted to let the millions of people who poured into our country illegally cast a ballot in this upcoming election.
Amna Nawaz:
That claim is just one of many conspiracy theories about the security of America's election system that are being spread in the lead-up to November.
Our White House correspondent, Laura Barron-Lopez, has been covering this, and she joins us now.
Now, Laura, we should point out this claim isn't new, but it is now frequently repeated by Republicans. Where did it come from in the first place?
Laura Barron-Lopez:
This lie dates back to 2016, Amna, when then-candidate Donald Trump said that he lost the popular vote because three to five million noncitizen immigrants voted for Hillary Clinton.
That's — of course is not true. But now it's become much more pervasive among Republicans this election cycle, going all the way from Republican nominee Donald Trump to House Speaker Mike Johnson, who has repeated this baseless claim over and over again.
And the House — House Republicans just last week passed a bill that makes it illegal for noncitizens to vote, requiring proof of citizenship. It's important to note, Amna, that it is already illegal for noncitizens to vote under federal law.
Geoff Bennett:
And, Laura, another key figure peddling this false claim is tech billionaire Elon Musk, who actually just endorsed Donald Trump.
Help us understand how he is sowing doubt about the presidential election.
Laura Barron-Lopez:
Just to give some context about Elon Musk's presence on X, on social media, he has more than 189 million followers on X.
And it's widely reported that the algorithm, since he started owning that platform, the algorithm boosts his post more than other users. And Musk has written posts on X that attack the voting system, specifically saying that — quote — "The system is designed to make it impossible to prove fraud. Mail-in and drop box ballot should not be allowed."
Now, Musk has also amplified on X a baseless claim posted by another user that said — quote — "The number of voters registering without a photo I.D. is skyrocketing in three key swing states, Arizona, Texas and Pennsylvania."
And Stephen Richer, Maricopa County recorder, responded specifically on X to Musk, pointing out that voter rolls have actually decreased in Arizona, again, refuting that claim that Musk was amplifying.
I spoke to Stephen Richer today about the impact of Musk posting and reposting these types of inaccuracies. And he told us that, ultimately, he's concerned that a lot of people are going to believe this and that it makes the job of election officials like himself unsustainable.
Stephen Richer (R), Maricopa County, Arizona, Recorder: Despite the millions of dollars that we have invested and the countless hours that we have invested to tours, to livestreams, to tele-town halls, to videos, to articles, to reports, it doesn't seem like we have made a significant dent in this culture, in this movement, in this false characterization of election administration.
[Insert: The job Stephen Richer does must be one of the most
dispiriting ones on the planet in this time of Trump's Age of Mistrust.]
At some point, people are going to throw up their hands and just stop, stop trying. After four years of doing this, I'm personally nearing that point.
Laura Barron-Lopez:
As you can hear there, Stephen Richer is pretty disheartened about the situation. He has invited Elon Musk to come to Maricopa County to tour their voting facilities, to ask any questions that he might have about how voting is administered there.
And Musk has not responded to Richer. And we also put out a request to X about these conspiracy theories that Elon Musk is posting and received no response.
Amna Nawaz:
Laura, you can hear the frustration in his voice there. So how are other election officials like Richer in other key swing states responding to all of this?
Laura Barron-Lopez:
I also spoke to Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson today, Amna. And she said that her office has — quote — "guardrails in place" to prevent noncitizens from voting.
And if a noncitizen does vote, they have effective ways of catching that afterwards and making sure that that vote is not counted. She said, ultimately, though that she's concerned that these lies about noncitizens voting could have a really negative impact on the system overall.
Jocelyn Benson (D), Michigan Secretary of State: We invite people, however, with questions to ask them so that we can answer them, as opposed to simply just amplifying misinformation.
Because the ramifications of amplifying easily debunked untruths and lies about who's able to vote or who's voting in our elections leads to eligible voters being harassed and intimidated at the polls because someone may be showing up thinking or presuming wrongfully that that person's not eligible to vote.
Laura Barron-Lopez:
Secretary of State Benson in Michigan also said that she's concerned that this could lead to some eligible voters, American citizens, just deciding that they don't want to engage and that they may not participate in this year's election.
Geoff Bennett:
Well, tell us more about that, Laura. I mean, how do these baseless claims fit into the overall effort among some Republicans to undercut confidence in the next election?
Laura Barron-Lopez:
This is part of a larger effort, Geoff, to sow doubt about America's election system, to convince the electorate that the country system can't be trusted and that the — and that, if Donald Trump were to lose, that that result is not legitimate.
And an example of this comes from Heritage Foundation, the right-wing think tank that has issued a blueprint for a potential second Trump term.
Mike Howell, executive director of The Heritage Foundation's Oversight Project, said recently at an event that: "As things stand right now, there is a zero percent chance of a free and fair election in the United States of America."
And that transition report from Heritage Foundation also claimed — without any evidence — that President Biden will retain power — quote — "by force" and that President Biden will disregard the will of the voters, whatever the ultimate result is.
And so some fear from election security experts that I have spoken to is that what happens with all this disinformation if Donald Trump were to lose, that it could potentially result in some political violence in the end, Geoff.
Geoff Bennett:
Laura Barron-Lopez.
Laura, thanks so much.
Laura Barron-Lopez:
Thank you.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/fact-checking-right-wing-claims-about-election-security-and-noncitizens-voting
Let's see if he can answer a simple question candidly. Guessing he won't.
Mike Johnson Nears a Deal With Dems in Last-Ditch Bid to Avoid Shutdown
TRY TRY AGAIN
The House speaker will try again to avert a government shutdown, this time with a “bare-bones” continuing resolution.
Mikey, AKA little Moses, is about to have his feckless ass handed to him.........again. Too late to save his fascist orange fk's ass, but it's all good.😏
Zachary Folk Freelance Reporter
Updated Sep. 22, 2024 10:51PM EDT
Mike Johnson
Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images
House Speaker Mike Johnson has reportedly secured a tentative agreement with his Democratic colleagues in both chambers of Congress to avert a rapidly approaching government shutdown.
The development comes less than a week after defections in his own party defeated the speaker’s attempt to pass a spending bill paired with extra legislation prohibiting non-citizens from voting.
The new spending bill will be “a very narrow, bare-bones CR including only the extensions that are absolutely necessary,” Johnson said in a letter to colleagues on Sunday. He brokered the deal with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and House Democrats, according to The Washington Post.
Congress has until Sept. 30 to fund the government before facing a shutdown.
Johnson previously tried to pass a spending bill with the SAVE Act attached—a Trump-endorsed bill that would ban states from registering non-citizens as voters. Fourteen Republicans joined Democrats to defeat the bill last week.
“Since we fell a bit short of the goal line, an alternative plan is now required,” Johnson wrote in a letter on Sunday. “The feedback and ideas from everyone have been very helpful, and next week the House will take the initiative and pass a clean, three-month CR to prevent the Senate from jamming us with a bill loaded with billions in new spending and unrelated provisions.”
The new bill would fund the government through Dec. 20. It also includes an additional $231 million in funding for the Secret Service to “carry out protective operations, including activities related to National Special Security Events and the 2024 Presidential Campaign.”
Johnson admitted the new bill was “not the solution any of us prefer,” but said funding the government was necessary so close to the election.
“As history has taught and current polling affirms, shutting the government down less than 40 days from a fateful election would be an act of political malpractice,” Johnson wrote, citing a survey that found a majority of voters, including moderates and swing voters, oppose a shutdown.
Schumer said in a statement Sunday that he was hopeful that both sides would be able to come together by the end of the week to pass Johnson’s bill—if the normally disjointed House Republican caucus continues to cooperate.
“If both sides continue to work in good faith, I am hopeful that we can wrap up work on the CR this week, well before the September 30 deadline,” Schumer said in a statement. “The key to finishing our work this week will be bipartisan cooperation, in both chambers.”
In a statement released on Sunday evening, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) also offered light praise of the new legislation, which the congressman called “devoid of any partisan, right-wing policy changes that House Republicans inappropriately attempted to jam into the appropriations legislation.”
He added that his Democratic colleagues would “collectively evaluate the spending legislation in its entirety.”
https://www.thedailybeast.com/johnson-pares-down-gop-funding-bill-in-desperate-bid-to-avoid-shutdown?utm_source=web_push
So which is it?
https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/whats-the-difference-between-a-commonwealth-and-a-state#:~:text=There%20are%20four%20states%20in,Massachusetts%2C%20Pennsylvania%2C%20and%20Virginia.
The four US states that call themselves commonwealths are Kentucky, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, and Virginia:
“Hank in Jackson County” appears to be Hank Choate, a farmer but also one of the 16 Michigan Republicans who signed a certificate falsely claiming that Donald Trump won the 2020 election: https://t.co/2Lp7CrKH6c
— Craig Mauger (@CraigDMauger) September 21, 2024
I dearly hope you've been following along with our good friend Marcy Wheeler, like I suggested awhile ago. It's so convoluted these days that I can't even keep up with it all but she's always on the spot. The comeuppance is in DC... Georgia is a political mess of a case.
https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/09/22/trump-will-stage-an-emergency-to-ban-jack-smiths-book-report/
check out the timeline subjects if you need to keep up like me.. Unbiased journalism where the only thing that matters are facts.
https://www.emptywheel.net/about/timeline-collection/
dbergh, If you don't know before now Trump and his GOP are a pox on America then you might have been irretrievably sucked into the fascist-like Trump GOP whirlpool. What is there to see about the MLK thing? If you don't know then you should have searched it before replying.
And seriously, you don't look at both sides nearly as much as this board does, on the evidence you don't really look much.
A good start for you would be to stop kidding yourself about how much you know.
do you have twitter access, big bothsides guy? Read this thread, again if you don't or can't , I will provide all the pertinent information from early 2023 to present by request. It appears getting all your information from Russian sources isn't really the best of ideas.
Aaron simply making shit up again. pic.twitter.com/QO77mxrPAb
— Pekka Kallioniemi (@P_Kallioniemi) September 22, 2024
👇️👇️Eats guinea pigs and may or may not had sex in a Barnes and Noble bathroom wants you to know that he is much much smarter and better looking than you are. His opinion is the only one that matters.👇️👇️
lol...ok...that was good. Short and fn' hilarious. Shit happens and you pounced..ha..
Dude..seriously. Yes, I live in a Commonwealth. A State is not a Commonwealth but a Commonwealth is a State. What the fuck man with the crazy?
Let me guess...you are an American..right? So is it Canada, Mexico,US, Latin America...or somewhere in South America...????
I was merely being specific. Try it.
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