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Moderator: Tom Veale Assistants: extelecom, The Grabber, AIMster, Neil Scott Boardmarks: 222
Created: 1/29/2002 4:28:34 PM Board type: Free

A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board
Robert Lichello's "Automatic Investment Management"
(Compliments of Investors Hub!)

Run A Successful Equity Warehouse
Welcome to the AIM Users Bulletin Board. This is the thread to post your thoughts, questions and comments on the use of Robert Lichello's Automatic Investment Management for handling the risk of being involved in the Equities markets.

The AIM strategy gives the user LIFO gains of 20% minimum if the method is followed "by the book." It is ideally suited to those seeking long term investment growth while managing the risk of being invested.

The v-Wave........
Mr. Lichello used fixed cash starting levels; first it was 50/50 then 67/33 and in the last edition of his book 80/20 for the Equity/Cash ratio. This "one size fits all" approach is like a broken watch that shows the correct time twice a day but is wrong the rest of the time!

Minstrlman, a regular contributor here, has been gathering data from Value Line and formed a highly capable risk-cash indicator for our use. As an adjunct to the AIM methodology we now have a Cash Indicator which helps guide our starting and ongoing Cash Reserve level of AIM relative to measured market risk. It can be used as a general market barometer or specifically with the AIM method. The v-Wave (or VW) is derived from the Value Line "Appreciation Potential - Next 3-5 Years" (VLAP) indicator shown weekly in their Summary and Index Section for their 1700 stock edition. Looking back through V/L's history we find the peak Appreciation Potential occurred 12/23/1974 at +234%. Assuming that we should have been 100% invested at that moment, we've used it to scale the current readings so that we don't see a negative cash reserve. We take the VLAP and  manipulate it to get an indication of how much cash should be reserved for diversified mutual fund AIM accounts. It should be multiplied by your stock or portfolio's BETA to get the cash reserve level of less diversified or more aggressive holdings.  

                                                      v-Wave Weekly Cash Reserve Indicator For AIM Users

v-Wave Current Cash Indication

Here's the Historical v-Wave from January of 1982:

Significant historical events are shown nicely here and the v-Wave's response at those times.

v-Wave Calculations can be found at #30219. The data are a work-in-progress for now.

AIM Users Home Page:
http://www.aim-users.com/index.html

AIM Weekly Newsletter (free):
http://www.aim-users.com/3bbs.htm

AIM Stock Examples:
http://www.aim-users.com/pic.htm

AIM "Cash Burn" Chart

http://www.aim-users.com/cashburn.htm

AIM Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) Board
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=1292

Tom's Retirement Account with ETFs
http://www.aim-users.com/etfunds.htm

Software for AIM accounts:
http://www.aim-users.com/aimware.htm

I started using AIM full time in January of 1988, just after the nasty "crash" of '87. Those of us who have used AIM for a while are willing to help you get started with your own Equity Warehouse. Please feel free to ask questions here on this thread. Also, I've compiled some of the more frequent questions at:

AIM FAQ's:
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=992
and
http://www.aim-users.com/qanda.htm

With AIM, you can choose stocks and funds for their Long Term investment potential. AIM will take care of most of your market timing and asset allocation needs while you wait for your favorite companies' stocks to prosper.

Tom's AIM/Perverse Investment Candidates:
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=1010

Newsletter Archives - http://www.aim-users.com/archive.htm

AIM for "Rational Exuberance,"
Tom Veale

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Go to Post # or date Previous 50 Next 50
PostSubjectPosted ByTime
#31325  Sticky Note v-Wave steady at 57.5%............ Tom Veale 1/19/2010 1:40:44 PM
#31251  Sticky Note www.aim-users.com/valuwave.gif Tom Veale 1/4/2010 10:57:20 AM
#30219  Sticky Note Hi Glen, RE: Calculating the v-Wave................... Tom Veale 5/26/2009 11:32:16 AM
#31415   Hey Jack, karw 2/9/2010 2:54:03 AM
#31414   Hello karw, ...Re. Bright spot is Japan Jack Jagernauth 2/8/2010 7:34:11 PM
#31413   January 2010 karw 2/6/2010 6:59:12 AM
#31412   Hi Jon, Re: v-Wave..... Tom Veale 2/5/2010 4:49:55 PM
#31411   V-Wave for the week of 2/5: 55.98 JDerb 2/5/2010 10:57:55 AM
#31410   Just when we think that we can get AIMster 2/4/2010 3:06:41 PM
#31409   Re: January Results The Grabber 2/3/2010 8:57:58 PM
#31408   January preliminary................. Tom Veale 2/3/2010 12:32:49 PM
#31407   I've been wondering whether you need to account ls7550 2/2/2010 5:39:21 PM
#31406   Hi Tom, karw 2/2/2010 2:28:06 AM
#31405   Hi Tom and Scott Toofuzzy 2/2/2010 1:00:09 AM
#31404   Tom, Your insightful call to Wisdom Tree raises the rscottie 2/2/2010 12:04:06 AM
#31403   Hi K, Re: Business sector specific ETFs for Tom Veale 2/1/2010 11:16:38 PM
#31402   Hi Tom, karw 2/1/2010 5:52:13 PM
#31401   Hello Ray, thanks for the suggestions. I'll Jack Jagernauth 2/1/2010 5:37:10 PM
#31400   Hi Jack, lrp42 1/31/2010 6:48:34 PM
#31399   These Newport files might work Victor ls7550 1/31/2010 6:34:14 PM
#31398   Hello Aimster, Re. 2x, 3x Bear Jack Jagernauth 1/31/2010 5:04:36 PM
#31397   Hi Karl, This does make a mess of Tom Veale 1/31/2010 10:02:04 AM
#31396   Hi All, karw 1/31/2010 5:37:58 AM
#31395   Also... Adam, I forgot to answer your other question: The Grabber 1/29/2010 5:01:25 PM
#31394   Hi All, karw 1/29/2010 5:00:39 PM
#31393   Hi All, karw 1/29/2010 3:39:40 PM
#31392   Hi Adam: The Grabber 1/29/2010 2:20:57 PM
#31391   Hi All, karw 1/29/2010 12:56:58 PM
#31390   Hi Steve, I know you don't like to AdamHelberg 1/29/2010 12:14:42 PM
#31389   Hi Alton Toofuzzy 1/28/2010 11:07:44 PM
#31388   Hi again Alton. The Grabber 1/28/2010 9:13:16 AM
#31387   Hi TF and Grabber, Alton 1/28/2010 7:59:35 AM
#31386   Hi Alton and Toof. The Grabber 1/28/2010 7:19:28 AM
#31385   Hey TF, Alton 1/28/2010 5:49:09 AM
#31384   Hi Alton Toofuzzy 1/28/2010 12:26:23 AM
#31383   Hi Grabber, Alton 1/27/2010 9:45:16 PM
#31382   Hi Alton. The Grabber 1/27/2010 8:37:33 PM
#31381   Hi Grabber, Alton 1/27/2010 3:42:19 PM
#31380   am not really comfortable with 2x Bear AIMster 1/27/2010 2:35:32 PM
#31379   I've already laid out on the high tech AIMster 1/27/2010 2:25:06 PM
#31378   Hi Alton.. JDerb 1/27/2010 10:30:18 AM
#31377   Re: LD-AIM The Grabber 1/27/2010 8:05:26 AM
#31376   Hi Grabber, Alton 1/27/2010 5:50:21 AM
#31375   Hi Alton Toofuzzy 1/26/2010 10:53:11 PM
#31374   Hi Alton. The Grabber 1/26/2010 10:43:11 PM
#31373   Hi TF, Alton 1/26/2010 8:46:14 PM
#31372   Hi Alton Toofuzzy 1/25/2010 11:34:10 PM
#31371   Hi Clive Toofuzzy 1/25/2010 10:47:50 PM
#31370   Hi Clive, Conrad 1/25/2010 9:23:27 PM
#31369   Hi Ray, I agree, and short-term vehicles are AdamHelberg 1/25/2010 6:27:23 PM
#31368   Tom, if you want a hand - I'd Make It Jake 1/25/2010 4:28:54 PM
#31367   Hi Jake, Re: database............. Tom Veale 1/25/2010 4:03:49 PM
#31366   That's the highest it's been since late 2007. Make It Jake 1/25/2010 3:27:06 PM
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