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Solar earnings spree starting next week :)
Italy Drops the Bomb
Solars getting crushed today by news that Italy could potentially hard-cap solar installations at 8GW (more)
http://www.thestreet.com/_yahoo/story/11025761/1/solar-winners-losers-italy-drops-the-boom.html?cm_ven=YAHOO&cm_cat=FREE&cm_ite=NA
Trina with BLOWOUT earnings. Here comes the solar earnings run for all companies :)
Thanks for article. Its too bad US manufacturers cannot compete with China. First Solar is the only manufacturer so far that is able to compete, and i myself wonder how long they can hold off the PV makers, and thin film is not as efficient as PV - and as PV prices come down, First Solar will also collapse IMO.
After a big run, solar taking a minor hit.
LDK looking good here. $20 by Q2 2011.
MKBY is going to be a multi bagger. The first of it's kind wind turbine has been constructed and is now going through very positive test spins. Huge news is going to be coming out very shortly. Check out the turbine build video on the MKBY board. Very cheap price at this time but not for long.
Your own DD is always required.
Did you get in? Congrats if you did :)
Purely on technicals short term I am loving $6
Fundementally, i would stay away from LDK. For a technical trade though, it is a good play (bottom play) as it has been hit pretty hard the last few days.
Not sure what to make of LDK's current position, any forecasts for this one or any other green energy stocks I should have on my radar right now?
I continue to watch LDK closely. Mad i did not invest in Trina when it was like 5 bucks. Grrrr.
I am continuing to hold LDK, also buying other solar stocks. CKSH worth mentioning based on recent bounce action.
Nice trading so far on LDK, I bought some end of the year. Any thoughts?
LDK and FSLR have been updated above*
NYBOB,sorry to bother you here but the Guy you made assit at MYNG keeps posting about GSPG on the MYNG board he also has posted a sticky,could you please remove him from assit and stop his pumping.Thank you and sorry to this Board.
Tribes claim wind farm would destroy sacred ritual
1 minute ago
By JAY LINDSAY
Associated Press Writer
(AP:MASHPEE, Mass.) From a blustery perch over a Cape Cod beach, Chuckie Green gestures toward a stretch of horizon where he says construction of the nation's first offshore wind farm would destroy his Indian tribe's religion.
The Wampanoag _ the tribe that welcomed the Pilgrims in the 17th century and known as "The People of the First Light" _ practice sacred rituals requiring an unblocked view of the sunrise. That view won't exist once 130 turbines, each over 400 feet tall, are built several miles from shore in Nantucket Sound, visible to Wampanoag in Mashpee and on Martha's Vineyard.
Tribal rituals, including dancing and chanting, take place at secret sacred sites around the sound at various times, such as the summer and winter solstices and when an elder passes.
The Wampanoag fight to preserve their ceremonies has become the latest obstacle _ some say delay tactic _ for a pioneering wind energy project that seemed at the cusp of final approval.
"We, the Wampanoag people, who opened our arms and allowed people to come here for religious freedoms, are now being threatened with our religion being taken away for the profits of one single group of investors," Green said.
The Mashpee and Aquinnah Wampanoag claim Nantucket Sound is eligible for listing on the National Register of Historic Places as a Traditional Cultural Property. The tribes say the designation, which would come with new regulations for activity on the sound, is needed to preserve not only their pristine views but ancestors' remains buried on Horseshoe Shoal, where the turbines would be built.
Cape Wind supporters say the tribes' claim for a National Register listing for the sound is baseless and was sprung late, in league with the project's most vociferous opponents, the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound.
"I think this is clearly a tactic for delay, for delay's sake," said Mark Rodgers, a spokesman for Cape Wind. "I think it's fair to say, looking at the past eight years, that opponents to Cape Wind have tried every conceivable strategy to slow down or stop the project."
Green bristles at the notion that the tribes, prodded by the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound, are jumping in late just to gum up the works. Green and Audra Parker, the alliance's executive director, said the alliance supports the Wampanoags' claim, but didn't engineer it.
Cape Wind, proposed in 2001 and expected to cost $1 billion, aims to provide up to 75 percent of Cape Cod's power. Other offshore wind farm proposals are in earlier stages of development in several states, including Rhode Island, Delaware and Texas.
Cape Wind opponents say it would be a hazard to aviation, harm the environment _ including fish and bird life _ and mar historic vistas. The late Sen. Edward Kennedy, whose family compound would be in view of the project, fought the project until his death, saying it was a triumph of special interests over state interests.
A major decision on the Wampanoag claim is due within two weeks.
The U.S. Minerals Management Service, the lead agency reviewing the proposed wind farm, has recommended that the sound is not eligible for the National Register to Brona Simon, head of the Massachusetts Historical Commission.
Simon must decide by Nov. 12 if she disagrees. If so, the claim would be sent to the National Parks Service for a final ruling within 45 days.
A parks service decision that the sound should be listed a Traditional Cultural Property wouldn't kill Cape Wind, but it could add months to the approval process by forcing developers to comply with the designation's various standards.
Simon declined comment through a spokesman for the Massachusetts Secretary of State, which has jurisdiction over her office.
Earlier this year, in a letter to the minerals service, Simon criticized federal review of the project, saying it appeared to value Cape Wind's profitability and schedule over "effects to historic properties."
Barbara Hill of Clean Power Now, an advocacy group that supports Cape Wind, said the entire offshore wind industry would suffer if Simon decides more review of the tribal claim is needed.
"If there is going to be an allowance to this type of viewshed issue, as far as the eyes can see, what are we going to build?" she said.
Cape Wind appeared close to final approval in January when the minerals service concluded the project posed no major environmental problems. If the tribes win their claim, say project supporters, there would be a host of unintended consequences.
Two Massachusetts environmental and economic development officials, Ian Bowles and Greg Bialecki, produced a list of commercial activities _ from commercial fishing to sand mining _ they said would be hurt by the ensuing new regulations. They also argued the Supreme Court has ruled that a vast, unenclosed body of water such as the 560-square mile Nantucket Sound isn't eligible as a Traditional Cultural Property.
"It seems clear that this request for such a designation, coming at this time, is an attempt to block or further delay renewable energy development in Nantucket Sound," their letter said.
Rodgers said the tribes' concerns have always been taken seriously, and noted borings were taken at the project site to determine if an Indian burial ground is there _ though Green says they don't go deep enough. In a September letter to the tribes, the minerals service listed numerous times in the last three years when it met, or tried to meet, to discuss their concerns.
Green said despite the years of review, regulators have never truly met requirements to thoroughly address their concerns _ including the pending claim about the sound.
"I don't expect anything from this, except for due process," Green said. "And I have not received due process."
Amazing that Trina now left LDK in the dust!
Anybody else see some interesting connections between
BEHL, INCL, KEPI, MNGA
worth digging some deeper here...IMO
LDK - 2-3 more quarters and it will be looking good
LDK will be full capacity on 6 MT of polysilicon at the start of the next quarter. They will be running at capacity of 6MT out of 16MT.
This is going to be important to watch if they plan to go over 16MT capacity going forward.
Need to keep a close eye on upcoming solar earnings. I am expecting fairly bad earnings again overall. However, when a few companies report bad earnings, it will bring the entire sector down. This is when you can cherry pick and grab some shares of companies that are leading the industry and not doing as badly as others.
LDK Solar July 2009 Business Update:
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9OTk3M3xDaGlsZElEPS0xfFR5cGU9Mw==&t=1
(JASO) JA Solar dramatically reduces 2009 outlook basically in half.
Roger that $to©k_Pi©ker™, have a good day!
Thanks Zen. Only going to watch big board, audited green companies on this board, but i will keep an eye on it.
If you do find any big board winds of interest that are not on here, feel free to post and i will dig up the financials and chart and slap it up top for easy comparison. Soon i will have a sepearate section above for solar vs. wind. Right now i only have one wind up top - CLNE.
(YGE) Yingli Solar reported 4th quarter of 258.1/14.7/.12 - which were below previous quarters.
(SOLR) GT Solar added above. Reported 3rd quarter results, which beat and were very good (205.2/43.1/.30) but warned next quarters numbers will be in range of 140-200.
Wind play to keep an eye on: Navajo Wind Energy Corp (CLBN) .015
Things could be happening with this one.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=4337
Thanks Junior. I use it as a great resource to compare solar earnings/charts. Helpful. Glad you like.
Nice page you got here!
And that is a good list. Only companies i think will 'for sure' survive are LDK and to a lesser extent FSLR and STP.
Most of the others will have to merge/be bought out.
However, if i had to buy a 2nd solar, right now it would be Trina Solar. I think that is the best value for the growth right now.
Good post, and it is already happening. Almost all the solars that reported this quarter, including my beloved LDK, have had diminishing margins. Although LDK will be able to easilty combat this by making their own polysilicon (raw material), other solars will not be able to and will continue to see lowring of margins - thus - going under.
Only the strong will survive in solar. But if you can pick those companies out, you will reap huge benefits.
LDK, STP, FSLR, SPWRA
These company's will be the only one's to survive IMHO
According to Forbes, “While the good news is that solar technology is poised to continue its impressive growth streak, the bad news is that a perfect storm is on the horizon as a wave of supply converges with diminishing government subsidies and a very chilly credit market. This will require solar manufacturers to reduce prices to compete and could spell trouble for smaller module makers or companies overly reliant on credit to operate.”
YGE announced and it is not too good:
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/081126/cnw032.html?.v=30
325.5 - 22.2 - .17
Bought more SOL at the open. This one had a great Q all in all. So they guided lower who cares most companies are and after they beat the last 3 Q's I think its ok. Its worth much more. Solar is not going anywhere but up the next year.
SOL (RenSola) 3rd Quarter Results:
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/081118/cntu022.html?.v=48
NEWS: LDK Solar Signs Three-Year Wafer Supply Agreement With BP Solar
XINYU CITY, China and SUNNYVALE, Calif., Nov. 14 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- LDK Solar Co., Ltd. ("LDK Solar"; NYSE: LDK), a leading manufacturer of multicrystalline solar wafers, today announced that it has signed a three-year contract to supply multicrystalline solar wafers to BP Solar International, Inc.
Under the terms of the agreement, LDK Solar will deliver approximately 435 MW of multicrystalline silicon solar wafers over a three-year period, commencing in 2009 and extending through 2011. During this period BP Solar International will supply a minimum of 1,680 MT of silicon to LDK Solar.
"We are very pleased to extend our relationship with BP Solar," stated Mr. Xiaofeng Peng, Chairman and CEO of LDK Solar. "This additional wafer supply contract expands our North American presence and further enhances LDK's position as a market leader."
"BP Solar has ambitious growth plans over the next few years. We are committed to our customers and ensuring that they receive high quality products at competitive prices. So we are delighted with this supply agreement with LDK Solar that supports this approach," commented Reyad Fezzani, CEO of BP Solar.
I do not necessarily think its the bottom of the sector because i do not think we are near done with this recession. Matter of fact, a few of the smaller solars may not stand up to the few big solars and could eventually go under.
Take a look at LDK right now - seriously. They come out with earnings on Wednesday morning and are set to blowout. They already raised guidance 3 times this quarter, and came out with preliminary 3Q numbers a few weeks ago - which are blowout!
Read there last few PR's - other solars are coming out with warnings, and LDK has stated they are overbooked and cannot expand fast enough!
Seriously do a couple hours DD on LDK - you wont regret it. I run the LDK board and have a ton of DD on there already to give you a good start:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=9981
appreciate the heads-up!!!! I need to spend the weekend on the dd machine to see where i'll put a little!!! but of all the solars LDK seems to still be withstanding the storm...? i'll look hard @ her. I made a couple of dollars on JASO a week ago, but gave a little back. if this is in fact the bottom for this sector i'm gonna throw everything i can at it!!!
I think JASO hits $3 easy today Looking for a return to $5 soon.
I agree Matt. They had an 'extraordinary loss' due to investment via Lehman Brothers. Without that, they earned i beleive .25 a share, and really only missed the street (without the one time investment loss) be 1 cent!!! Yet they got HAMMERED.
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Green Energy (Solar, Wind) Info and Watchlist.
LDK Solar (LDK) | First Solar (FSLR) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | __Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS |
* 2q 2009 would have lost 42.5 mil excluding write-downs * 4q 2008 positive Income excluding extraordinary writeoff of poly costs |
Suntech Power (STP) | Rensola (SOL) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | __Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS |
SunPower (SPWRA) | Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | __Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS 3q 2008 ___ 066.7___ 001.3___ 0.03 2q 2008 ___ 103.1___ 014.2___ 0.33 1q 2008 ___ 095.8___ 012.7___ 0.30 4q 2007 ___ 083.4___ 009.9___ 0.29 |
Yingli Green Energy (YGE) | JA Solar (JASO) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | __Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS |
SolarFun Power (SOLF) | Canadian Solar (CSIQ) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | __Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS 3q 2009 ___ 213.1___ 025.3___ 0.69 2q 2009 ___ 114.2___ 017.7___ 0.49 1q 2009 ___ 049.5___ 000.0___ 0.13 4q 2008 ___ 068.8___-050.0___-1.60 3q 2008 ___ 252.4___ 011.1___ 0.31 2q 2008 ___ 212.6___ 010.6___ 0.36 1q 2008 ___ 171.2___ 019.0___ 0.61 4q 2007 ___ 127.5___ 006.0___ 0.22 3q 2007 ___ 097.4___ 000.5___ 0.02 |
Trina Solar (TSL) | Evergreen Solar (ESLR) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | __Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS |
GT Solar (SOLR) | Jinko Solar (JKS) |
__Qtr ______Rev_____Inc_____EPS | |
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