Value Microcaps Pick Six Lotto 12

[wadegarret]

All I want is to make 25% on my current

stock portfolio(including margin)by Dec 31. Now it that asking for too much ? Wade

[researcher59]

abh3vt: I greatly enjoyed reading your Champion's commentary ! Thanks for sharing.

[Knowledge is King]

Great write-up abh,


I saw many similarities to my own investing story in there. Good luck ahead...

[northenlightsk05]

ABH3Vt,

Very well written! Great long term performamce. Thanks for sharing.

Northern

[abh3vt]

Thanks Matt! This is a nice perk, and is much appreciated!

[Mattu]

Congrats on the win! Just added the 1 year prize to your account....

[lentinman]

ABH3VT CHAMPION'S SUMMARY:

See Champion's Board

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=4067

ABH3VT COMMENTARY

With a hat-tip to Researcher59, whose style for this note I have shamelessly copied, I submit my write up for the VMC Champions Board:

PERSONAL BACKGROUND

I'm 43 years old and have lived in NYC for the past 10 years. Married, with 2 kids, I work out of my home office and have been a full time investor/trader since 1995. I also manage money for friends and family via a general partnership that I set up back in 2000 to manage money in a format similar to a mutual fund. I was introduced to the stock market through my father when I was in high school. Our timing was pretty good as the great bull market of the 1980s and 1990s had just gotten under way. I was smitten and decided to major in economics, which was the only market oriented degree I could find at Amherst College. I graduated in 1988 (the year after the crash) and drifted into management consulting. It wasn't really what I wanted to do, but it gave me time when I wasn’t working at my full-time job to get introduced to the internet and online investing in the early 1990s (anyone remember the old Prodigy bulletin boards??) I did well enough in those years by riding some of the early internet stocks but never felt comfortable with the momentum trading style. My investing philosophy eventually gravitated toward a value oriented style, but I wanted to combine this with stocks that were still fast growers. That led me into the world of microcap stocks, which was the only segment of the market where I could find companies that appeal to BOTH growth and value investors. I was an early participant in the Yahoo stock boards and Raging Bull and followed everyone over to Ihub about 4-5 years ago...and have been here every since.

INVESTING PHILOSOPHY

When I first started out, I read as much investing material as I could get my hands on. I read everything from Peter Lynch to William O'Neill and even some classics like "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" and Graham and Dodd's "Security Analysis". Another book that was instrumental in shaping my investing style was "What Works on Wall Street" by James Shaughnessy. It had some good long-term data for different investing styles and argued for a value style married to relative strength/momentum. One of the stunning numbers that came out of that book was the incredible returns available in microcap stocks.......and I was determined to narrow down the best microcap stocks based upon what I felt would appeal to both growth and value investors. What I've come to believe is that stocks that are cheap relative to their forward earnings growth (low PEG ratios) offer the best opportunities for appreciation. So, for every stock that I look at, I try to predict what they will be able to show in earnings per share in the coming year, trying to factor in such things as seasonality, lumpiness in sales and orders, one-time expenses (or income), tax rates, dilution from warrants and options, etc. I also look at operating strengths such as ability to generate cash flow from operations, low debt levels, barriers to entry, and gross margin expansion (i.e. ability to scale up easily). What are constraints on this growth? What is the likelihood that a company will need to issue more stock to meet this demand? How much insider buying is occurring? What is the organic revenue growth rate and how sustainable is it? What forward multiple will the market be willing to give this stock relative to its competitors? I tend to favor the defensive and less cyclical sectors like medical/health care, education, food, etc and avoid the extremely competitive, low margin businesses. I also place a premium on predictable, visible sales growth with expandable margins, so that eps can grow at a faster rate than sales. I keep spreadsheets of selected income statement, balance sheet and cash flow information by stock and also track all PRs or other relevant filing info that comes from the company. I participate on conference calls and attend investor conferences. I will call up the CFO and/or the CEO on specific questions that aren't Reg FD challenges - (assuming that they can speak English!) In short, I try to do everything legally possible to figure out why a company is doing well and what the likelihood is that it will be able to maintain that condition and create strong catalysts for new shareholders to want to own the stock (at higher prices) in the future.

Once I find a company I like, I then look for a good price level to buy in. Sometimes that will mean looking at obvious levels of technical support, and I always determine a "margin of safety" for that specific company. For example, once I have come up with what I consider to be a reasonable range for fair value, I will start buying at prices that are 65% of FV. I usually like to average down a few times, "legging" into a position over time and thus lowering my cost basis. How often I do this depends upon how much I like the strengths of the company and how compelling the value is. Other times, I have to judge market conditions and move faster to get into a full position. I also don't usually like to invest more than 6% of my portfolio in any one stock, although I will and have made exceptions to this rule. I typically hold around 15-25 stocks at any one time, although my top 10 is generally weighted much heavier than other positions. My returns since Dec 2000 have averaged nearly 20%/year and that is without the benefit of any leverage.....in fact, I'm usually heavily in cash at most points and have rarely been more than 60% invested at any one time during that period. (I’m around 30% invested at present.) I have had only one down year since 1995, and that was 2008. I am still learning more about how to professionally manage a portfolio and would like to get better at shorting/hedging, either by shorting individual stocks, ETFs, or using options on indexes to hedge. I have rarely used these tactics, although one could argue that my heavy cash positions provide downside protection and act as a decent buffer on volatility.

PSL12 CONTEST

A lot of factors came together to create a perfect environment for my picks to do well in the most recent contest. All of my stocks were focused upon growth in China, and this meant I was in one of the hottest sectors of the market. I attribute this to a growing recognition and acceptance during the last few months that China's economy was going to emerge relatively unscathed this year from the economic meltdown in the US and Europe. Second, risk taking came back into vogue during the summer and that, along with sidelined cash coming into the market drove a lot of "hot" money into some of the stocks that I picked. While I think that all the increases in price were justified, often these moves take much longer to occur, not necessarily a few weeks or months! With that said, I chose the following as my starting six: CBPO.OB.....CKGT.OB.....RINO.OB......TXIC........WEMU.OB........YGYB.OB

My biggest winners in the contest were RINO and TXIC. RINO (a pollution-abatement equipment company selling to major iron/steel cos in China) benefited from uplisting to the NASDAQ during the contest period, which opened it up to a wider range of investors. It also was able to show two very strong quarters of eps and sales growth that were no longer impacted by large non-cash charges that had hurt eps numbers in the prior year. TXIC was trading at a 3x forward multiple when I first bought it and the fact that it had a better than expected quarter and had exposure to the truck and SUV market in China made it a stock that investors/traders wanted to own. Selling those stocks when I did and locking in decent gains were important, but I then used the proceeds to buy a couple of radio stocks that had been mentioned on the VMC board by several others (thanks MikeDD and Nelson). I bought SALM and ETM as I thought they represented the best of that segment at the prices available, and both appreciated nicely in the closing weeks of the contest to propel me to the win. The radio stocks appealed to me because of how cheap they were on an adjusted earnings basis (backing out the impairment charges) and because they had very good free cash flow which I thought would appeal to the value investors out there. It also did not hurt that a few momentum traders bought them for their charts, which showed them all bursting out of long-term bases after some sharp declines in 2008. WEMU was the only pick that I lost on, because they reported a very poor Q2 result. I was fortunate to only lose about 8% there. CBPO, CKGT, and YGYB were all solid examples of what I like: strong sales and eps growth, low PE and PEG ratios, good operating metrics (low debt, decent cash flow, etc), and participation in defensive sectors. YGYB got noticed by the Motley Fool, CKGT benefited from the general rotation into low PE, high growth China stocks, and CBPO is simply a strong company in a very protected and profitable blood plasma product niche. All had been sold off during 2008 and early 2009, so some of this rise was a reversion to the mean and IMHO long overdue.

Some final comments: Successful investing is a function of having risk:reward ratios in your favor as much as possible and knowing when to sell and when to overweight certain stocks. In order to accomplish this, I have to work and dig harder than the person I just bought from (or sold to). I am an inveterate “fader”which means I generally am happier going against the crowd, selling when stocks are soaring and buying dips or crashes. My holding periods vary greatly, depending upon the fundamental outlook and the initial reasons for buying a certain stock. If the story has changed substantially for the worse, I sell immediately. If bad news is because of temporary issues, I will re-evaluate and look to add on weakness or hold and look to sell at better prices in the future. Once a stock has hit my FV range, I start to sell it off slowly, trying to milk as much out of a rise as possible and then wait for more earnings information. I always want to have identifiable future catalysts on my side to generate buying enthusiasm, and there is nothing like strong sales and earnings per share growth to create that. Never be ashamed at taking a profit, but adjust your selling discipline a bit if the market is telling you that you are undervaluing your stocks and selling way too early. Establish a comfort level and decide which scenario is more painful: missing out on the potential upside of a blow-off top or watching a relatively overvalued stock you own dramatically decline in value.

We have a lot of very talented and insightful posters on our Ihub board and I feel fortunate to be a part of this group. I hope that some will find this information helpful and I look forward to contributing more in the future.

[SSKILLZ1]

He also won Mr consistency as well for the clean sweep.

[lentinman]

ABH:

Extremely well-deserved and overdue. You have always been one of the best stock-pickers on VMC. Your DD is excellent! Congratulations and good luck on trying to repeat.

Oh, and congratulations on winning the tournament too - the first time anyone has won both in the same contest.

Len

[lentinman]

2Morrow:

You are correct. Nobody has won both in the same contest. Only one other person has won both in different contests - Gilead.

Len

[lentinman]

PSL12 INDIVIDUAL TOURNAMENT: FINAL RESULTS:

R59 dwindled like a candle in a hurricane when the pressure of the championship was on. See. He's human.

                                          WINNER 
 2.30% Researcher59  vs  ABH3VT  24.02%   ABH3VT

[northenlightsk05]

abh3vt, I am very pleased for your win. I am looking forward to reading your summary inclduing your investment history, your investment method, your stock picking/trading secret. Your picks for PSL12 were very impressive.

[abh3vt]

Northern, you were tough to beat! I was fortunate to have a few trades work in my favor in the last few weeks, but this could have gone either way. Congratulations to you as well.

[abh3vt]

researcher, thanks for your kind comments. I follow your picks and thoughts very closely as you are one of the best......your logic and investing acumen are top-notch!

[abh3vt]

Wow, I feel honored to have won against such great competition! Thanks for all the kind comments and congratulations, and I look forward to competing in lucky PSL 13.....

Sskillz and Len, a special thanks to both of you for organizing these contests. I can only hope that you have gotten so good at running these events that it now takes up a little less time than it did previously.

I'm currently still away on vacation, but will be back by Wednesday. I promise to put together a few thoughts on my stock selection process and give a replay on the PSL12 strategy for those that are interested.

Thanks again to all who participated in the PSL contest and all the VMCers who regularly contribute and help make our group one of the best boards on the Internet for finding undervalued stocks.

[northenlightsk05]

Hi researcher, Congratulation to you, too, for your continue excellent performance. Also look forward to seeing your picks in PSL13.

[researcher59]

northenlightsk05: congratulations on your runner-up finish and good luck in PSL13. I look forward to seeing your picks.

[researcher59]

abh3vt: congratulations on your well deserved win ! Thanks also for your many ongoing contributions to the VMC board. I look forward to seeing your picks in PSL13.

[mikeo56]

ditto on Many thanks to SSKILLZ1 and len for your time, effort and great job!
Wow there have been 12 contests already.
The guys in the top 15,well what can I say, you guys are good.
And consistant too. Thanks again.
See you in # 13

[nsomniyak]

way to go ABH3VT!

[2morrowsGains]

Way to pick 'em abh!! Looks like abh3vt also won len's PSL12 INDIVIDUAL TOURNAMENT. Not sure if anyone has ever won both contests at once. This may be a first!
Just waiting for lentinman to make it official.

[timhyma]

Congrats on the win

[northenlightsk05]

Many thanks to SSKILLZ1 and len for your time, effort and great job!

[northenlightsk05]

ABH3VT, Congratulation! That is a great race. Congratulation to eveybody here for a combined great performance in this run of stock picking.

[bbotcs]

Lentinman:

Thanks for your work. This was a wild one.

[bbotcs]

SSKILLZ1: Fantastic job as always. Thank you very much for another exciting contest.

[bbotcs]

northernlights and researcher: Great job. EOM

[bbotcs]

ABH3VT:

Congratulations on your move in the stretch. Great job.

[SSKILLZ1]

Congrats to ABH3VT our PSL 12 Champion. Well all my stats are done. Now Off to start getting ready for VMC PSL 13 by fixing up the PSL 13 Spreadsheet. Remember everyone the PSL 13 Deadline is Friday so get your picks in before then.

[SSKILLZ1]

Final VMC PSL 12 Standings (Week 14)

Congrats to our winner ABH3VT up 141.02% in the contest. There are 44/51 portfolio up in the contest or 86.27%. So without any further ado the info. is below.

Stock Pickers Alias---% Gain/Loss
1 ABH3VT 141.02%
2 NORTHERNLIGHTSK05 127.29%
3 RESEARCHER59 99.85%
4 BBOTCS 89.13%
5 10BAGGER 72.17%
6 BUCFAN33617 66.12%
7 STIFFLER68 65.17%
8 MIKEDDKING 62.14%
9 VALUEMIND 61.54%
10 NSOMNIYAK 60.59%
11 MICHAEL T 59.39%
12 LENTINMAN 52.37%
13 SWB173 48.46%
14 SWAMPBOOTS 47.56%
15 GILEAD23 46.84%
16 LARRYBAZ 46.67%
17 MR. SHEEP (W/O CASH) 40.32%
18 STEELEDGE 38.27%
19 ECOBLOT 37.30%
20 ZEN LUNATIC420 36.41%
21 CLIFFVB 34.06%
22 WADEGARRET 33.82%
23 EDJOHNSON 33.15%
24 MR. SHEEP 30.19%
25 MIKE056 29.66%
26 SWICK984 29.44%
27 2MORROWSGAINS 28.54%
28 JOEINIOWA 26.94%
29 HWEB2 26.15%
30 SSKILLZ1 24.71%
31 NUTSABOUTGOLF2001 24.64%
32 MANNY T 24.49%
33 STANU78 24.41%
34 ARNIE70 23.66%
35 THEALICEMAY 22.30%
36 BOBWINS 21.35%
37 KNOWLEDGEISKING 21.27%
38 STOCKPEEKER 19.96%
39 TMCAL6 14.32%
40 MSGI 11.75%
41 SWANLINBAR 9.42%
42 CL001 7.14%
43 DANLC 5.71%
44 WYOBUFORD 4.60%
45 TIMHYMA -0.05%
46 PATTYDADY0 -1.17%
47 OLDPRO -3.22%
48 KOZUH -3.66%
49 BEIGLEDOG -5.78%
50 JANG-A-LANG -23.22%
51 ROGUEDOLPHIN -32.42%

[SSKILLZ1]

Move Up/Down Using Consistency Standings (In % Terms)

Now this shows who was Positively/Negatively affected in % Terms by using consistency standing. Anyways Congrats to OLDPRO he was the most positively affected in % Terms by consistency standings. 16/51 People were positively affected in % terms by this stat. Hope This Helps.

Stock Pickers Alias---Change In %
1 OLDPRO 9.86%
2 MIKE056 7.62%
3 MR. SHEEP (W/O CASH) 6.85%
4 BEIGLEDOG 6.51%
5 WADEGARRET 5.41%
6 ECOBLOT 3.63%
7 STANU78 2.69%
8 MR. SHEEP 1.78%
9 SSKILLZ1 1.69%
10 ARNIE70 1.45%
11 JANG-A-LANG 1.31%
12 TIMHYMA 1.18%
13 MANNY T 0.93%
14 SWB173 0.69%
15 EDJOHNSON 0.17%
16 ROGUEDOLPHIN 0.01%
17 DANLC -0.20%
18 BUCFAN33617 -1.28%
19 KNOWLEDGEISKING -1.55%
20 WYOBUFORD -1.71%
21 JOEINIOWA -2.00%
22 SWANLINBAR -2.23%
23 BOBWINS -2.64%
24 THEALICEMAY -2.74%
25 HWEB2 -2.96%
26 STOCKPEEKER -3.33%
27 MSGI -3.53%
28 SWICK984 -3.56%
29 NUTSABOUTGOLF2001 -3.74%
30 MIKEDDKING -3.80%
31 2MORROWSGAINS -4.15%
32 CL001 -4.66%
33 STIFFLER68 -5.26%
34 TMCAL6 -5.71%
35 VALUEMIND -6.24%
36 KOZUH -6.56%
37 ZEN LUNATIC420 -6.94%
38 MICHAEL T -7.57%
39 PATTYDADY0 -7.62%
40 LENTINMAN -8.84%
41 CLIFFVB -11.48%
42 STEELEDGE -11.79%
43 GILEAD23 -12.41%
44 ABH3VT -13.72%
45 SWAMPBOOTS -14.96%
46 10BAGGER -17.88%
47 RESEARCHER59 -19.74%
48 LARRYBAZ -26.69%
49 NSOMNIYAK -32.55%
50 NORTHERNLIGHTSK05 -46.46%
51 BBOTCS -55.93%

[SSKILLZ1]

Move Up/Down Using Consistency Standings (In Position Terms)

Obviously you Knew I just couldn't of left it there. My next question is in terms of Position who benefitted the most by using consistency standings compared to the regular way we look at things. Also who was hurt the most. Did you Move Up/Down (in position terms) from where you placed in the regular standings. Well it's Time to find out. I just want to say congrats to the two people who benefitted the most from this statistic (Moving up the most places is) MIKE056 and STANU78 moving up 10 spots looking at it from this perspective. Anyways without further ado here is the info.

Note: - means you were negatively affected by consistency standings. Hope This Helps.

Stock Pickers Alias---Change In Rank
1 MIKE056 10
2 STANU78 10
3 WADEGARRET 8
4 ARNIE70 6
5 ECOBLOT 6
6 EDJOHNSON 6
7 MR. SHEEP (W/O CASH) 6
8 MANNY T 5
9 OLDPRO 5
10 SSKILLZ1 5
11 MR. SHEEP 4
12 SWB173 3
13 BEIGLEDOG 2
14 BUCFAN33617 2
15 KNOWLEDGEISKING 2
16 MICHAEL T 2
17 MIKEDDKING 2
18 STIFFLER68 2
19 VALUEMIND 2
20 ABH3VT 0
21 DANLC 0
22 JANG-A-LANG 0
23 LENTINMAN 0
24 MSGI 0
25 NORTHERNLIGHTSK05 0
26 RESEARCHER59 0
27 ROGUEDOLPHIN 0
28 STOCKPEEKER 0
29 SWANLINBAR 0
30 SWICK984 0
31 TMCAL6 0
32 WYOBUFORD 0
33 BOBWINS -1
34 GILEAD23 -1
35 JOEINIOWA -1
36 KOZUH -1
37 THEALICEMAY -1
38 TIMHYMA -1
39 ZEN LUNATIC420 -1
40 HWEB2 -2
41 NUTSABOUTGOLF2001 -2
42 PATTYDADY0 -2
43 10BAGGER -3
44 2MORROWSGAINS -3
45 CL001 -3
46 SWAMPBOOTS -5
47 STEELEDGE -6
48 CLIFFVB -11
49 NSOMNIYAK -12
50 BBOTCS -14
51 LARRYBAZ -18

[SSKILLZ1]

Mr. Consistency Standings

The Methodology: I provided a Mr. Consistency stat in VMC PSL 1, but couldn't do it in contest 2 + 3 due to trades. Anyway I found a new way to handle the situation in VMC PSL 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 and beyond. Yes it it a different calculation then the one used in VMC PSL 1, but I still believe it shows a consistent stock picker, hence I'm going to call it Mr. Consistency standings.

Now first it is important to recognize that we start out with 6 position and end with 6 position. We may not have 6 different stocks in the portfolio, or the same 6 stocks we started with, but we still have 6 different positions.

From a calculation standpoint, we Take out the top performing and Worst Performing position of each person's PSL. We then Average the other 4 and we get an answer. I'm not going to bore anyone with the math behind it as it is very boring. But I believe this should give you a good idea of what I've done.

As you can see from a consistency standpoint. ABH3VT was up 127.30% using the consistency standings. So congrats to ABH3VT he is Mr. Consistency. There are 47/51 portfolios in positive territory using this stat instead of 44/51 the way we look at it to get a VMC PSL Champion. Well anyways I hope everyone enjoys this, I put a lot a work into this one, but I feel it is worth it.

Stock Pickers Alias---% Move Up/Down
1 ABH3VT 127.30%
2 NORTHERNLIGHTSK05 80.84%
3 RESEARCHER59 80.11%
4 BUCFAN33617 64.84%
5 STIFFLER68 59.90%
6 MIKEDDKING 58.34%
7 VALUEMIND 55.30%
8 10BAGGER 54.29%
9 MICHAEL T 51.82%
10 SWB173 49.15%
11 MR. SHEEP (W/O CASH) 47.17%
12 LENTINMAN 43.53%
13 ECOBLOT 40.93%
14 WADEGARRET 39.23%
15 MIKE056 37.28%
16 GILEAD23 34.43%
17 EDJOHNSON 33.32%
18 BBOTCS 33.20%
19 SWAMPBOOTS 32.59%
20 MR. SHEEP 31.97%
21 ZEN LUNATIC420 29.47%
22 NSOMNIYAK 28.04%
23 STANU78 27.09%
24 STEELEDGE 26.48%
25 SSKILLZ1 26.40%
26 SWICK984 25.89%
27 MANNY T 25.43%
28 ARNIE70 25.11%
29 JOEINIOWA 24.94%
30 2MORROWSGAINS 24.38%
31 HWEB2 23.19%
32 CLIFFVB 22.58%
33 NUTSABOUTGOLF2001 20.89%
34 LARRYBAZ 19.98%
35 KNOWLEDGEISKING 19.71%
36 THEALICEMAY 19.56%
37 BOBWINS 18.71%
38 STOCKPEEKER 16.63%
39 TMCAL6 8.61%
40 MSGI 8.22%
41 SWANLINBAR 7.19%
42 OLDPRO 6.64%
43 DANLC 5.51%
44 WYOBUFORD 2.89%
45 CL001 2.48%
46 TIMHYMA 1.13%
47 BEIGLEDOG 0.74%
48 PATTYDADY0 -8.79%
49 KOZUH -10.22%
50 JANG-A-LANG -21.92%
51 ROGUEDOLPHIN -32.41%

[researcher59]

SSK: Thanks for all the statistics ! Very interesting. I'll be looking them over more closely in the coming days.

[SSKILLZ1]

% Move Based on # Transactions Used

Commentary: As you can see the People with 0 trade left performed the best. Without further ado the info is below.

4 Transactions Left: +23.95%
3 Transaction Left: +10.02%
2 Transactions Left: +50.63%
1 Transactions Left: +53.89%
0 Transactions Left: +61.49%

[SSKILLZ1]

The Buy A Trade Results

The Buy a Trade Results Started off slow with only two people buying just 1 trade. As a result, in PSL 13 buy a trades will now cost 5-10-15% instead of 10-15-20% to make this feature more used. Hope This Helps.

[SSKILLZ1]

Trade Usage (VMC PSL 3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12)

Trade Usage Per Each contest
VMC PSL 3 40.15%
VMC PSL 4 53.73%
VMC PSL 5 40.99% (48.66% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 6 44.32% (51.14% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 7 43.00% (49.78% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 8 31.25% (37.50% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 9 32.50% (38.33% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 10 21.84% (25.67% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 11 32.31% (37.95% adjusted for extra trade)
VMC PSL 12 37.24% (44.90% adjusted for extra trade)

Commentary: As we can see trade usage fell significantly after VMC PSL 7. But finally Jumped in PSL 11 versus psl 10, and jumped again in PSL 12 Versus PSL 11. My guess is because of Improved market conditions Trade Usage has really started to improve. Will be interesting to see where it goes from here. Hope this helps.

[SSKILLZ1]

How did stocks do for the 12 contests by there purchase price.

This is a collective look of the 12 contests results merged together.

$.20-.99 Purchase Price
$1.00-2.99 Purchase Price
$3.00-4.99 Purchase Price
$5.00-9.99 Purchase Price
$10+ Purchase Price

Number Of Stocks in each group
$.20-.99 Purchase Price:584
$1.00-2.99 Purchase Price:776
$3.00-4.99 Purchase Price:387
$5.00-9.99 Purchase Price:454
$10+ Purchase Price: 663

% Gain For Each Group
$.20-.99 Purchase Price: +5.56%
$1.00-2.99 Purchase Price:+1.89%
$3.00-4.99 Purchase Price:-0.05%
$5.00-9.99 Purchase Price:+2.85%
$10+ Purchase Price: -2.33%

Commentary: As we can see if we look at the 12 contests the $0.20-0.99 Purchase Price stocks are doing the best, and the $10+ stocks have done the worst. In My Opinion, this is very interesting to see if the trends continue, although it might not mean much I still like the info. And I hope everyone else likes it too.

[SSKILLZ1]

How stocks did in Purchase Price groups?

I put it into 5 groups as you can see below.

$.25-.99 Purchase Price
$1.00-2.99 Purchase Price
$3.00-4.99 Purchase Price
$5.00-9.99 Purchase Price
$10+ Puchase Price

Number Of Stocks in each group
$.25-.99 Purchase Price:31
$1.00-2.99 Purchase Price:63
$3.00-4.99 Purchase Price:28
$5.00-9.99 Purchase Price:23
$10+ Puchase Price: 28

% Loss For Each Group
$.25-.99 Purchase Price: +75.44%
$1.00-2.99 Purchase Price:+27.05%
$3.00-4.99 Purchase Price:+38.99%
$5.00-9.99 Purchase Price:+22.97%
$10+ Puchase Price: -5.37%

So as we can see the $0.25-0.99 stocks had the best Performance +75.44%, and the $10+ did the worst down -5.37%. Don't know if this means anything, but just presenting another stat for everyone to look at. Hope everyone enjoys the info.

[SSKILLZ1]

VMC PSL 12 Indexes

Commentary: We have numerous indexes to present this contest. So without further ado let me give a brief explanation of them. The The Top 9 Index is made up of all stock being picked at least 5 times in the contest, this index is equally weighted. The Top 173 Index, is also equally weighted, and measures the average performance of all the stocks picked in this contest (Our stock universe). The Average Portfolio Return, measure the average performance of the 49 portfolios. These indexes or averages should be familiar to everyone, as I have presented these in past contest(s).

Other indexes to be presented: Average Wildcard Index this index measures the average performance of the 19 wildcards chosen in the contest, this index is equally weighted. Average Non Wildcard Index This index measures the average performance of the 154 non-wildcard entries, and this index is also equally weighted as well. Average Wildcard Index (Weighted Average) this index only difference from the Average Wildcard Index is this index uses a weighted average approach. What This basically means is there are 27 units in this portfolio, obviously the majority of stock only have 1 unit, but a stock like AGT has 8 units because it was picked 8 times in the contest. Average Non Wildcard Index (Weighted Average) this index only difference from the Average Non Wildcard Index is this index uses a weighted average approach. What this basically means is there are 267 units in this portfolio, obviously the majority of stock only have 1 unit, but a stock like LPIH.OB is weighted much more heavily and has 12 units because it was picked 12 times in the contest. Next, we get to the Average Portfolio (Original) the only difference between this index and the average portfolio return is it excludes the impact of transactions, meaning if no one could make transactions (Which is obviously not the case) this would be the average portfolio return. The Champions Index is basically and index that takes the average of the all the former PSL champions in PSL 12. If you have any questions don’t hesitate to ask, and I will answer them to the best of my ability. Hope you enjoy the info.

Top 9 Index: +43.75%
Top 173 Index: +31.86%
Average Portfolio Return: +34.50%
Average Wildcard Index: +39.74%
Average Non Wildcard Index: +30.89%
Average Wildcard Index (Weighted Average): +20.88%
Average Non Wildcard Index (Weighted Average): +35.04%
Average Portfolio Return (Original): +33.74%
Champions Index: +34.46%

[SSKILLZ1]

% of Portfolio up in % Terms for each PSL Contest

PSL #1: 84.42%
PSL #2: 87.78% (Highest PSL % of Portfolio up in any PSL)
PSL #3: 34.83%
PSL #4: 80.23%
PSL #5: 86.21%
PSL #6: 47.78%
PSL #7: 57.14%
PSL #8: 35.37%
PSL #9: 20.99%
PSL #10: 4.49% (Lowest PSL % of Portfolio up in any PSL)
PSL #11: 65.67%
PSL #12: 86.27%

Average PSL % of Portfolio up: 57.60%

[SSKILLZ1]

Wildcard Returns

 
 	Stock Symbol	% Move 
 1	PMII.PK		415.00% 
 2	NTWK		104.78% 
 3	TWB		82.98% 
 4	CFX-UN.TO		74.26% 
 5	ACPW		71.74% 
 6	SGMA		43.90% 
 7	SMCG		36.88% 
 8	WCG		32.68% 
 9	NSU		19.05% 
 10	TTNP.PK		16.92% 
 11	DNDN		14.71% 
 12	MDVX.OB		6.10% 
 13	NSYS		3.17% 
 14	CEE.TO		1.34% 
 15	DIGA		-17.27% 
 16	AGT		-19.59% 
 17	FSI		-19.75% 
 18	DSCO		-54.19% 
 19	VXRC.OB		-57.76%

[SSKILLZ1]

Individual Stock Returns

 
 	Stock Symbol	% Move 
 1	PMII.PK		415.00% 
 2	VOCL		214.55% 
 3	CHGY.OB		206.45% 
 4	IFON		199.93% 
 5	APT		188.82% 
 6	SALM		173.20% 
 7	SVA		161.16% 
 8	TXIC		159.01% 
 9	RINO.OB		157.58% 
 10	YGYB.OB		142.97% 
 11	JNGW.OB		141.54% 
 12	GCE.TO		139.29% 
 13	GAXC.OB		138.89% 
 14	SWTX.OB		108.33% 
 15	NTWK		104.78% 
 16	OPAI.OB		102.44% 
 17	MED		99.78% 
 18	TSTC		92.66% 
 19	CCEL.OB		91.30% 
 20	LTUS.OB		89.47% 
 21	MEDQ		88.51% 
 22	TWB		82.98% 
 23	INOC		77.52% 
 24	CSGH.OB		76.92% 
 25	KPPC		75.06% 
 26	UTA		74.96% 
 27	CFX-UN.TO		74.26% 
 28	HOO		73.28% 
 29	LPIH.OB		72.84% 
 30	ACPW		71.74% 
 31	EGMI.OB		71.10% 
 32	CBEH.OB		71.00% 
 33	CNEH.OB		69.57% 
 34	TGB		65.81% 
 35	SAH		64.37% 
 36	CEUA.OB		60.94% 
 37	SLP		60.18% 
 38	CPHI.OB		58.33% 
 39	TPI		56.74% 
 40	GTE		56.02% 
 41	CKGT.OB		55.87% 
 42	SDTH		54.42% 
 43	FVE		53.67% 
 44	AGM		52.50% 
 45	TTIL		48.19% 
 46	AGT-UN.V		46.94% 
 47	QUA.TO		44.47% 
 48	SGMA		43.90% 
 49	NSATF.OB		43.33% 
 50	CMFO.OB		42.19% 
 51	SMID.OB		42.00% 
 52	KEQU		41.71% 
 53	HS		40.58% 
 54	CNTF		40.54% 
 55	ATPG		39.66% 
 56	CNU		37.82% 
 57	SMCG		36.88% 
 58	CTIB		36.36% 
 59	LMA.TO		36.25% 
 60	ODSY		35.08% 
 61	CNOA.OB		34.72% 
 62	SURG		33.01% 
 63	RCMT		32.78% 
 64	WCG		32.68% 
 65	SYNM		31.71% 
 66	ERSO.PK		31.68% 
 67	LNET		29.87% 
 68	PCAR		29.85% 
 69	CS.TO		29.68% 
 70	AMLJ.OB		29.17% 
 71	OFI		28.82% 
 72	PUDC.OB		28.57% 
 73	CPBY		27.93% 
 74	TSRA		25.55% 
 75	COT		24.95% 
 76	CYAN		24.47% 
 77	TGA		23.74% 
 78	AOB		23.68% 
 79	DAAT.OB		23.08% 
 80	RGEN		23.06% 
 81	MDF		21.51% 
 82	CAEI		20.81% 
 83	FIT		20.61% 
 84	GIGA		20.51% 
 85	NSU		19.05% 
 86	SMG		18.94% 
 87	CBPO.OB		18.81% 
 88	TTNP.PK		16.92% 
 89	LTON		16.75% 
 90	RFIL		16.66% 
 91	SILC		16.25% 
 92	HON		15.98% 
 93	INOD		15.42% 
 94	ABAT		15.00% 
 95	FLL		14.93% 
 96	DNDN		14.71% 
 97	ROP		14.28% 
 98	CLF		14.17% 
 99	SHW		13.80% 
 100	AEY		12.51% 
 101	UVE		12.39% 
 102	SLW		11.88% 
 103	TAST		11.82% 
 104	NM		11.64% 
 105	EROC		11.48% 
 106	SSY		11.16% 
 107	CDE		11.07% 
 108	SGZH.OB		10.77% 
 109	NXG		9.18% 
 110	RUTH		8.71% 
 111	CCC		8.46% 
 112	GE 		7.48% 
 113	AIRT		7.35% 
 114	MIND		7.26% 
 115	ORS		7.14% 
 116	MDVX.OB		6.10% 
 117	RJI		5.76% 
 118	TRIB		4.76% 
 119	VIC-UN.TO		4.33% 
 120	SVLF		3.50% 
 121	NSYS		3.17% 
 122	NR		2.24% 
 123	WEL		1.57% 
 124	CEE.TO		1.34% 
 125	$CASH$		1.00% 
 126	HTLD		0.85% 
 127	NGA		0.17% 
 128	AAB.TO		0.00% 
 129	FEED		0.00% 
 130	SNEN		-1.48% 
 131	ITEX.OB		-1.52% 
 132	CHME.OB		-2.29% 
 133	CNC		-2.51% 
 134	ETC		-4.41% 
 135	TOPS		-4.94% 
 136	ALIF.OB		-6.45% 
 137	CGLD.OB		-7.68% 
 138	GLPW.PK		-7.69% 
 139	MAG		-7.74% 
 140	SMF.TO		-7.88% 
 141	WEMU.OB		-8.18% 
 142	FAS		-8.66% 
 143	OBCI		-10.33% 
 144	FREE		-10.53% 
 145	FR.TO		-11.42% 
 146	GSL		-13.02% 
 147	POE.V		-16.67% 
 148	DIGA		-17.27% 
 149	DISK		-17.92% 
 150	GSI		-18.13% 
 151	OGC.TO		-18.87% 
 152	AGT		-19.59% 
 153	FSI		-19.75% 
 154	GIGM		-19.83% 
 155	OCNF		-19.89% 
 156	FRPT		-21.64% 
 157	MDN.TO		-22.86% 
 158	PRGN		-25.51% 
 159	BDR		-25.60% 
 160	DXD		-28.24% 
 161	SDS		-29.11% 
 162	SDK		-31.81% 
 163	QID		-33.85% 
 164	MZZ		-34.90% 
 165	RRZ		-36.65% 
 166	SKF		-42.98% 
 167	ADL		-43.47% 
 168	CHCG.OB		-43.52% 
 169	SRS		-50.95% 
 170	TZA		-51.89% 
 171	DSCO		-54.19% 
 172	VXRC.OB		-57.76% 
 173	FAZ		-58.87%

[SSKILLZ1]

All 6 Units In Positive Territory

10BAGGER
GILEAD23
LARRYBAZ
MICHAEL T
MIKEDDKING
NORTHERNLIGHTSK05
RESEARCHER59
STIFFLER68
SWB173
VALUEMIND

Wow 10 People with all 6 units Positive. Haven't checked but this has to be some kind of record.

[lentinman]

BBOTC:

What do you mean terrible time to start a contest??

We started PSL4, PSL7 and PSL10 at the same time!

Whatever you will be doing that prevents you from having two minutes to pick six stocks... have fun.

Len

[bbotcs]

lentinman: Count me out. I have too much work to do. Terrible time to start a contest, imo.

[lentinman]

PLS13 Board has been created:

I will get the IBOX updated as soon as possible, but you know the rules. PSL 13 begins in a week. In fact, the deadline is this next Friday. Remember, there is only one week between contests this time.

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=15971

Get your picks ready asap, please. Also, if you are not planning on participating in PSL13... WRONG ANSWER.

Len

[lentinman]

Transactions updated in IBOX:

Len

[nsomniyak]

who gave SSK a day off? Slacker...

[timhyma]

lol, He should still post his picks for us, so we can buy them

It will be without R59. He's agree that he is too good for the rest of us.